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   02.27.07
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A new study concludes that the killing of wild African elephants for their ivory is worse than ever, even though international trade in ivory has been banned since 1989. As this ScienCentral News video explains, scientists are using a new forensic tracking technique that can follow the trail of elephant DNA to help pinpoint the poachers.

Path to Extinction?

Endangered African elephants are under attack by poachers at levels not seen since before the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES) banned the ivory trade in 1989, according to research published this week in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences' online early edition.

Sam Wasser, director of the University of Washington's Center for Conservation Biology, used a new DNA tracing technique to reveal the geographical source of the biggest single seizure of illegal ivory in history. In 2002, officials found six-and-a-half tons of poached ivory in a shipping container from southern Africa.

Wasser Researcher
Sam Wasser, University of Washington
Wasser says investigators hypothesized that the huge shipment may have been amassed by a widespread smuggling network from sources all over Africa. "Is all this ivory coming from one location or are they taking stockpiled ivory from a variety of places, pulling it together, shipping this out?" he explains.

Wasser and his team collected DNA from samples of elephant tissue and dung from across the continent for years, and created maps of recognizable genetic signatures of elephants based on their region of origin. Comparing samples from the 2002 seizure to the maps showed that most of the ivory seized in that shipment came from a single country, Zambia. "It gave us a fairly high degree of precision to tell us where these samples came from," Wasser says.

He says that's a frightening result because it means the intensity of poaching is far higher than was thought. "The fact that there's that much coming out of there -- holy cow!" he says. "What's coming out of everywhere else?"

But identifying the victims could help not just in catching the criminals but also in better protecting heavily poached elephant populations. "That's why the information from these dead elephants is so vital," says Wasser.

"Lowest overall population in history"

The authors say the explosion in poaching has African elephants farther down the path to extinction than before the 1989 ban. The International Fund for Animal Welfare (IFAW) estimates that in the 1970s and '80s, African elephant populations declined from 1.3 million to 625,000.

Samples
Wasser's team used DNA from samples of elephant tissue to figure out the origin of the tusks.
A 2002 status report estimated there are between 400,000 and 660,000 African elephants left on the continent. Bill Clark, an advisor to IFAW and a co-author on the PNAS paper, says "that's the lowest overall population in history."

The authors write that between August 2005 and August 2006, customs officials seized nearly 26 tons of African elephant ivory. Clark says that's nearly four times as much as previous years. It's widely assumed that customs only intercepts around 10% of contraband drugs and weapons, which it aggressively targets with the help of high-tech scanners and detection dogs. "Ivory is probably much less," says Clark. Applying the conservative 10% seized to illegal ivory, the authors estimate the current level of trade represents some 23,000 killed elephants per year.

Clark says that the elephant population "should be growing by at least 20,000 elephants a year, but we're not seeing that." He explains that "poachers target adults because they have the biggest ivory… the enormous amount of poaching through the 1970s and '80s left a high percent of juveniles in the population. Those juveniles were maturing through the '90s, but when they did reach reproductive maturity around 2000, then the poaching started again. The population should have started climbing." If poaching continues, he says, "the population declines will be steep because poachers are once again targeting the mature elephants."

Elephants
image: Humane Society of the United States
"Right now the ivory trade is the worst in history," says Wasser. "The reason is that Far Eastern economic growth has jacked up the price." He says as the price of ivory has quadrupled in the past two years—and so has poaching—with a dramatic increase in the role of organized crime. "We need to close down the trade," he says.

Wasser says the ban was working until 1993, when Western nations withdrew funding for enforcement aid, believing the problem had been solved. The authors call for a re-infusion of aid from industrialized nations to its previous scale. "We stopped the trade in 1989 and we can stop it again," Wasser says.

Wasser's research was published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, early online edition, February 26, 2007 and funded by US Fish and Wildlife Service African Elephant Conservation Fund and International Fund for Animal Welfare (IFAW).


 
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