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Risk
management
consists of identifying, evaluating, selecting, and implementing
specific management measures to mitigate risk potential. As
such, it is the realm of the policy maker, not the risk analyst.
The risk analyst identifies risk and may counsel alternatives.
Decisions on preventive measures belongs to the public health
policy maker and, ultimately in many instances, her political
boss in local, state, or national government. Thus, the food
safety risk analyst may identify a particular pathogen such
as Listeria monocytogenes as an increasing threat to
public health and advocate irradiation of meat and poultry to
ameliorate the perceived problem, but the politicians who must
spend America's tax dollars make the ultimate decision.
The
solutions selected are often the most elementary ; this is
not necessarily a bad thing in the area of food safety, where
ignorance and misunderstanding are endemic. An excellent example
can be found here in the Puget Sound where pro bono publicumbillboard
advertising and King County Metro and Pierce County Transit
bus advertisements decry the lack of handwashing and advise
that better health results from washing hands after using
the restroom.
Risk
management with respect to food safety is complicated by the
same factors that complicate risk assessment - namely, the
nature of the beasties makes any absolute prediction impossible.
Let's look at some examples to see just what obstacles confront
food safety risk managers.
- Salmonella
spp. causes nausea, vomiting, abdominal cramps, minal
diarrhea, fever, headache, and, chronically, arthritis.
Onset time is from 6 to 48 hours and infection may be caused
by as many as 15 to 20 vegetative cells. Two to four million
cases occur annually in the United States.
- Clostridium
perfringens causes intense abdominal cramps and diarrhea
within from 8 to 22 hours after exposure; it usually lasts
only 24 hours. The dose-response appears to be at least
108 vegetative cells.
- Escherichia
coli 0157H7 in which as few as 10 organisms can cause
severe abdominal pain and bloody diarrhea. The disease is
self-limiting and lasts 8 days or less. In the immunologically
compromised, one complication is hemolytic uremic syndrome
(HUS), which is potentially fatal.
- Bacillus
cereus - emetic B. cereus occurs from 0.5 to
6 hours after ingestion of foods contaminated by 106
bacteria per gram and usually lasts only 24 hours. It is
commonly found in vegetables and grains, especially rice.
- Giardia
lamblia infection usually occurs within one week of
ingestion of a single cyst; however, chronic infection
can last from months to years. Usually a diarrheal disease
but may involve the central nervous system.
- Staphylococcus
aureus symptoms onset are rapid and acute, depending
only on the individual's susceptibility to the toxin, and
involves nausea, vomiting, retching, abdominal cramping,
prostration, and may also include headache, muscle cramping,
transient changes in blood pressure and pulse rate. A toxin
dose of less than 1.0 microgram is sufficient to induce
morbidity.
- Norwalk-like
viruses (NLV'S) are the source of viral gastroentiritis,
second only to the common cold in frequency of occurrence
in the U.S.. The onset of symptoms occurs from 24 to 48
hours after infection. It is possible to develop immunity
to NLV's and up to 50% of Americans do; unfortunately, the
immunity does not last, even for the same serotype. This
is what people refer to as "stomach flu".
These
are just a few of the more common foodborne illnesses in
the United States; if we include the rest of the world,
the picture changes radically. If one looks at all the different
characteristics of the beasties involved, one can readily
appreciate the difficulties involved in trying to manage
the potential risk each presents. Actually, new threats
are emerging all the time. Twenty-five years ago, it was
unclear that Clostridium perfringens was pathogenic
for humans and Listeria monocytogenes and Campylobacter
jejuni were of concern to veterinarians and those involved
with animal husbandry, not the food industry.
The
fact that Listeria monocytogenes has at least a twenty
percent mortality rate has gotten its emergence as a human
pathogen a great deal of attention very quickly.
So
how, then, do we manage risk when we are confronted by such
variation among our microbial adversaries? First let us ask,
what is an acceptable level of risk? There is currently a
1 in 33,812 chance of becoming ill with salmonellosis from
a typical meal. Assuming the typical American eats 3 meals
per day, 7 days a week, that translates into that American
contracting salmonellosis every 31 years.
Or,
to look at it another way, in 1991 the average American dined
out 3.8 times per week. If we were to turn to irradiation
of meat and poultry to eliminate or greatly reduce the threat
of foodborne illness, we would have to increase our food budget
by $36 billion annually just to cover the increased costs
of restaurant meals! This is assuming that irradiation will
add $0.71 per capita cost to the meat or poultry portion
of the meal.
There
are those who argue that a certain amount of exposure to microbial
pathogens and toxins is beneficial to the human immune system.
While it is not possible to argue that an individual can develop
immunity to Staphylococcus aureus, there is much that
is not understood about the flora and fauna that
colonize our gut and how they interact with invaders, change
as the external environment changes, change with diet and
water source, change by race, and so forth. Chickens are now
innoculated with one bacterium to prevent the unchecked growth
of Salmonella enteritidis that is characteristic of
poultry.
Contamination
of the American food supply generally occurs in one of four
areas:
- Exposure
to microbial infection at the farm level;
- Exposure
to microbial adulteration at the food processing level;
- Exposure
to improper food handling and food storage practices at
the retail level;
- Exposure
to improper food handling and unsafe food storage in the
household;
The
first three are amenable to governmental regulation and the
fourth is not, and yet it is estimated that as many as 85% of
foodborne illness incidents are attributable to improper handling
or insufficient cooking or chilling in the home kitchen.
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