How to Read Travel Time Profile Graphs
The example [embed (Figure 3.18) shows an 8-hour slice of a typical travel time graph, in this case for westbound SR 520 general purpose lanes, for a trip from Redmond Way to I-5. The estimated travel time is a function of the time of day that the traveler begins the trip, shown along the horizontal axis. The green line represents the average travel time, measured with the left vertical axis, which in this example varies from about 17 minutes for a person leaving Redmond at midday, to about 27 minutes during the evening commute.
The red line represents the 95th percentile travel time, which in this example can reach about 41 minutes in the evening peak, meaning that nineteen times out of twenty (i.e., 95 percent of the time) the trip’s travel time will be 41 minutes or less. The 95th percentile travel time measure describes those conditions experienced on a “bad day” for that trip. The degree to which a trip’s 95th percentile travel time differs from its average travel time indicates the variability of conditions routinely experienced for that trip. So, for someone leaving Redmond at 5:00 PM the trip ranges from 27 minutes, on average, to approximately 41 minutes or less 95 percent of the time.
Superimposed on the two travel time lines is a column graph, measured along the right vertical axis, that illustrates the estimated frequency of congestion on a given trip or route. Congestion frequency is measured by the likelihood that the average trip speed will be below 35 mph for a given trip start time. On the example trip, the congestion frequency of almost 61 percent at 5:30 PM indicates that there is approximately a 61 percent chance that the average overall trip speed will be less than 35 mph when the trip starts at 5:30 PM. |