Projective Convergence

Projective Convergence

Pointing to unseen targets is a common and natural method of measuring survey knowledge. One of the more sophisticated and useful versions of this method, called the method of projective convergence was originally developed by Siegel (1981), adapted from procedures adapted from Hardwick, Mcintyre and Pick. (1976). The method involves obtaining estimates of the distance and the direction to a target location from each of three sighting locations. The three distance/direction pairs specify three estimated target locations, forming a hypothetical triangle (see figure *2-2). From this technique, two measures derive from a simple, direct analysis of errors:

1. Mean miss distance : Siegel termed this quantity "locational accuracy" and defined it as the sum of the distances between the vertices of the hypothetical triangle and the target averaged over the number of observations. It is equivalent to the average error in distance estimations.
2. Mean angle error: the absolute difference (in degrees) between the estimated direction and the actual direction averaged over the number of observations.

Two dependent measures derive from the relationships between the hypothetical triangle and the target location:

1. Locational accuracy: A very similar measure as miss distance, locational accuracy, is defined as the distance between the centroid of the hypothetical triangle and the target. Some researchers have used this measure in place of Siegel’s measure (see Witmer et al., 1996).
2. Consistency: the perimeter of the hypothetical triangle.


Figure 2-2



If the environment tested contains several targets, an additional set of measures can be used based on the overall goodness of fit of all target’s estimated locations.
5., 6., & 7. Overall spatial goodness of fit – measures of configurational goodness of fit can be made by comparing the centroid of each hypothetical triangle to the actual target locations. For these measures, the centroids of the triangles are treated as location estimates and entered into the map analysis routines described in Waller’s dissertation (in preparation), resulting in three measures: mean relative angle error, the correlation of inter-location distances, and absolute error adjusted for translation, rotation, and scale.

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