| date | day of week | class | time (am) | topic | reading(s) |
| 3/27 | T | 1L | 9:30 - 10:20 | course introduction, RAGS paradigm, compounded conservatism, intro to Crystal Ball™ | CMA '91 excerpt |
| 3/29 | Th | 2L | 9:30 - 10:20 | more 1-D MC using Crystal Ball™, CMA example | |
| 3/30 | F | 3 | 10:30 - 11:20 | good practice, distribution selection | Burmaster & Anderson, Thompson |
| 4/3 | T | 4L | 9:30 - 10:20 | more 1-D MC, custom distributions, parametric estimates | EPA RAGS conc term |
| 4/5 | Th | 5L | 9:30 - 10:20 | correlated variables | Smith et al, Slob |
| 4/6 | F | 6 | 10:30 - 11:20 | taxonomy of uncertainy, student project discussion | |
| 4/10 | T | 7L | 9:30 - 10:20 |
introduction to 2-D MC with CB, H&H case |
Hoffman & Hammonds
|
| 4/12 | Th | 8L | 9:30 - 10:20 | more 2-D MC - one variable/ multiple distributions (IF statement) + plot | |
| 4/13 | F | 9 | 10:30 - 11:20 | case study - soil adherence PDF | Finley et al, letters |
| 4/17 | T | 10L | 9:30 - 10:20 | 2-D plotting, interpreting uncertainty and variability | |
| 4/19 | Th | 11L | 9:30 - 10:20 | uncertainty and variability, tolerance limits | excerpts from Conover, IAEA, Morgan & Henrion |
| 4/20 | F | 12 | 10:30 - 11:20 | criticisms of 2-D Monte Carlo | Ferson (1996) |
| 4/24 | T | 13L | 9:30 - 10:20 | back calculation problem, deconvolution | Ferson (1995?) |
| 4/26 | Th | 14L | 9:30 - 10:20 | application - cleanup standards |
Burmaster et al (1995) |
| 4/27 | F | 15 | 10:30 - 11:20 | case study - Ruston/Tacoma As | |
| 5/1 | T | 16L | 9:30 - 10:20 | case study - Ruston/Tacoma As | |
| 5/3 | Th | 17L | 9:30 - 10:20 | case study - Ruston/Tacoma As | |
| 5/4 | F | 18 | 10:30 - 11:20 | case study - CTEPP chlorpyrifos | |
| 5/8 | T | 19L | 9:30 - 10:20 | case study - CTEPP chlorpyrifos | |
| 5/10 | Th | 20L | 9:30 - 10:20 | case study - CTEPP chlorpyrifos | |
| 5/11 | F | 21 | 10:30 - 11:20 | case study - EPA OPP worker | |
| 5/15 | T | 22L | 9:30 - 10:20 | case study - EPA OPP worker | |
| 5/17 | Th | 23L | 9:30 - 10:20 | case study - EPA OPP worker | |
| 5/18 | F | 24 | 10:30 - 11:20 | Markov-Chain Monte Carlo | |
| 5/22 | T | 25L | 9:30 - 10:20 | student presentations | |
| 5/24 | Th | 26L | 9:30 - 10:20 | student presentations | |
| 5/25 | F | 27 | 10:30 - 11:20 | student presentations | |
| 5/29 | T | 28L | 9:30 - 10:20 | student presentations | |
| 5/31 | Th | 29L | 9:30 - 10:20 | student presentations | |
| 6/1 | F | 30 | 10:30 - 11:20 | wrap-up/discussion |
