All Publications

Heinrichs, J. A.,  J. J. Lawler. N. H. Schumaker.  In Press.  Intrinsic and extrinsic drivers of source-sink dynamics. Ecology and Evolution.

Case, M. J. and J. J. Lawler.  In Press.  Relative vulnerability to climate change of trees in western North America.  Climatic Change.
Siña, M., R. C. Wood, E. Saldarriaga, J. Lawler, J. Zunt, P. Garcia, and C. Cárcamo.  In Press.  Understanding perceptions of climate change, priorities, and decision-making among municipalities in Lima, Peru to better inform adaptation and mitigation planning.  PLoS ONE.
Heinrichs, J. A., J. J. Lawler, N. H. Schumaker, C. Wilsey, and D. Bender.  In Press.  Divergence in sink contributions to population persistence.  Conservation Biology.

Lawler, J. J., J. E. M. Watson, E. T. Game.  2015. Conservation in the face of climate change: recent developments. F1000Research 2015, 4(F1000 Faculty Rev):1158 (doi: 10.12688/f1000research.6490.1).

Carroll, C., J. J. Lawler, D. R. Roberts, and A. Hamann.  2015.  Biotic and climatic velocity identify contrasting areas of vulnerability to climate change. PLoS ONE 10(10): e0140486. doi:10.1371/journal. pone.0140486.

Duggan, J. M., B. A. Eichelberger, S. Ma, J. J. Lawler, and G. Ziv.  2015.  Informing management of rare species with an approach combining scenario modeling and spatially explicit risk-assessment.  Ecosystem Health and Sustainability 1(6): 22.

Lee† S-Y, M. E. Ryan, A. F. Hamlet, W. J. Palen, J. J. Lawler, and M. Halabisky§.  2015.  Projecting the hydrologic impacts of climate change on montane wetlands.  PLoS ONE doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0136385.

Nogeire†, T. M., J. J. Lawler, N. H. Schumaker, B. L. Cypher, and S. E. Phillips. 2015.  Land use as a driver of patterns of rodenticide exposure in modeled kit fox populations.  PLoS ONE 10(8): e0133351. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0133351.

Krosby, M., C. Wilsey, J. McGuire†, T. Nogeire†, J. Heinrichs†, J. M. Duggan†, J. Tewksbury, J. J. Lawler.  2015.  Climate-induced range overlap among closely related species.  Nature Climate Change DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2699.

Fullerton, A. H., C. E. Torgersen, J. J. Lawler, R. N. Faux, E. A. Steel, T. J. Beechie, J. L. Ebersole, and S. G. Leibowitz.  2015.  Rethinking the longitudinal stream temperature paradigm: region-wide comparison of thermal infrared imagery reveals unexpected complexity of river temperatures. Hydrological Processes doi:10.1002/hyp.10506.

Langdon, J. G. R. and J. J. Lawler.  2015.  Assessing the threat of future climate change to the protected areas of western North America. Ecosphere 187: 127-133.

Case, M. J., J. J. Lawler, and J. A. Tomasevic§.  2015.  Relative sensitivity to climate change of species in northwestern North America.  Biological Conservation 187: 127-133.

Anderson, M. G., P. J. Comer, P. Beier, J. J. Lawler, C. Schloss, S. Buttrick, C. Albano, and D. P. Faith. 2015.  Case studies of conservation plans that incorporate geodiversity.  Conservation Biology 29: 680-691.

Anderson, M. G., P. J. Comer, P. Beier, J. J. Lawler, C. Schloss, S. Buttrick, C. Albano, and D. P. Faith. In Press. Case studies of conservation plans that incorporate geodiversity.  Conservation Biology.

Lawler, J. J., D. Ackerly, C. Albano, M. Anderson, M. Cross, S. Dobrowski, J. Gill, N. Heller, R. Pressey, E. Sanderson, and S. Weiss.  In Press.  The theory behind, and challenges of, conserving nature’s stage in a time of rapid change. Conservation Biology.

Fullerton, A. H., C. E. Torgersen, J. J. Lawler, R. N. Faux, E. A. Steel, T. J. Beechie, J. L. Ebersole, S. G. Leibowitz. 2015. Rethinking the longitudinal stream temperature paradigm: region-wide comparison of thermal infrared imagery reveals unexpected complexity of river temperatures. Hydrological Processes. doi:10.1002/hyp.10506

Chornesky, E. A., D. D. Ackerly, P. Beier, F. W. Davis, L. E. Flint, J. J. Lawler, P. B. Moyle, M. A. Moritz, M. Scoonover, P. Alvarez, K. Byrd, N. Heller, L. Micheli, and S. Weiss.  2015. Adapting California’s ecosystems to a changing climate.  BioScience 65: 247-262.

Torrubia, S., B. H. McRae, J. J. Lawler, S. A. Hall, M. Halabisky, J. Langdon, and M. Case.  2015. Getting the most connectivity per conservation dollar.  Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 12: 491-497.

Schmitz, O. J., J. J. Lawler, P. Beier, C. Groves, G. Knight, D. A. Boyce Jr., J. Bulluck, K. M. Johnston, M. L. Klein, K. Muller, D. J. Pierce, W. R. Singleton, J. R. Strittholt, D. M. Theobald, S. C. Trombulak, and A. Trainor.  2015.  Conserving biodiversity: practical guidance about climate change adaptation approaches in support of land-use planning.  Natural Areas Journal 35: 190-203.

Lankford, A. J., L. K. Svancara, J. J. Lawler, K Vierling.  2014. Comparison of Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments for Wildlife.  Wildlife Society Bulletin. Doi: 10.1002/wsb.399.

Asah, S. T., A. D. Guerry, D. J. Blahna, and J. J. Lawler.  2014.  Perception, acquisition and use of ecosystem services: Human behavior, and ecosystem management and policy implications.  Ecosystem Services 10: 180-186.

Lawrence, D. J., B. Stewart-Koster, J. D. Olden, A. S. Ruesch, C. E. Torgersen, J. J. Lawler, D. P. Butcher, J. K. Crown.2014.  The interactive effects of climate change, riparian management, and a non-native predator on stream-rearing salmon.  Ecological Applications 24:895-912.

Lawler, J. J., D. Lewis, E. Nelson, A. J. Plantinga, S. Polasky, J. C. Withey, D. P. Helmers, S. Martinuzzi, D. Pennington, V. C. Radeloff.  2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the U.S.  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 111: 7492-7497.

Ibáñez, I., J. M. Diez, L. P. Miller, J. D. Olden, C. J. B. Sorte, D. M. Blumenthal, B. A. Bradley, C. M. D’Antonio, J. S. Dukes, R. Early, E. D. Grosholz, and J. J. Lawler.  2014Integrated assessment of biological invasions.  Ecological Applications 24: 25-37.

Stein, B. A., A. Staudt, M. S. Cross, N. S. Dubois, C. Enquist, R. Griffis, L. J. Hansen, J. J. Hellmann, J. J. Lawler, E. J. Nelson, A. Pairis.  2013.  Preparing for and managing change: climate adaptation for biodiversity and ecosystems.  Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 11: 502-510.

Staudinger, M. D., S. L. Carter, M. S. Cross, N. S. Dubois, J. E. Duffy, C. Enquist, R. Griffis, J. J. Hellmann, J. J. Lawler, J. O’Leary, S. A. Morrison, L. Sneddon, B. A. Stein, L. M. Thompson, and W. Turner.  2013Biodiversity in a changing climate: a synthesis of current and projected trends in the United States.  Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 11: 465-473.

Wilsey, C. B., J. J. Lawler, D. Cimprich, and N. H. Schumaker.  2013.  Dependence of the endangered black-capped vireo on sustained cowbird management.  Conservation Biology 28:561-571.

Lawler. J. J., A. Ruesch, J. D. Olden, B. H. McRae.  2013Projected climate-driven faunal movement routes.  Ecology Letters 16: 1014-1022.

Wilsey, C. B., J. J. Lawler, E. P. Maurer, D. McKenzie, P. A. Townsend, R. Gwozdz, J. A. Freund, K. Hagmann, and K. M. Hutten. 2013. Tools for assessing climate impacts on fish and wildlife.  Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 4: 220-241.

Lawler, J. J., B. Spencer, J. D. Olden, S.-H. Kim, C. Lowe, S. Bolton. B. M. Beamon, L. Thompson, and J. G. Voss.  2013.  Mitigation and adaptation strategies.  In: R. Pielke, Sr., K. Suding, and T. Seastedt, Editors.  Climate Vulnerability: Understanding and Addressing Threats to Essential Resources, Volume 5, Ecosystem Function.  Elsevier Inc. Academic Press.

Nuñez, T. A., J. J. Lawler, B. H. McRae, D. J. Pierce, M. B. Krosby, D. M. Kavanagh, P. H. Sigleton, and J. J. Tewksbury.  2013.  Connectivity planning to address climate change.  Conservation Biology 27: 407-416.

Lawler, J. J., C. A. Schloss, A. K. Ettinger.  2013.  Climate change: anticipating and adapting to the impacts on terrestrial species.  In: S. A. Levin (ed.).  Encyclopedia of Biodiversity, second edition, Volume 2, pp100-114, Academic Press, Waltham, MA.

Ruesch, A. S., C. E. Torgersen, J. J. Lawler, J. D. Olden, E. E. Peterson, C. J. Volk, D. J. Lawrence.  2012Projected climate-induced habitat loss for salmonids in the John Day River network, Oregon, USA.  Conservation Biology 26: 873-882.

Cross, M. S., J. A. Hilty, G. M. Tabor, J. J. Lawler, L. J. Graumlich, J. Berger.  2012.  From connect-the-dots to dynamic networks: Maintaining and restoring connectivity as a strategy to address climate change impacts on wildlife.  In: J. Brodie, E. Post, D. Doak, eds. Conserving wildlife populations in a changing climate.  Chicago University Press.

Lawler, J. J., H. D. Safford, and E. H. Girvetz.  2012.  Martens and fishers in a changing climate.  In: K. B. Aubry, Editors.  Biology and Conservation of Martens, Sables, and Fishers: a New Synthesis.  Cornell University Press.

Withey, J. C., J. J. Lawler, S. Polasky, A. J. Plantinga, E. J. Nelson, P. Kareiva, C. B. Wilsey, C. A. Schloss, T. Nogeire, A. Ruesch, J. Ramos Jr., and W. Reid. 2012. Maximizing return on conservation investment in the conterminous U.S. Ecology Letters doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01847.x.

Diez, J. M., C. M. D’Antonio, J. S. Dukes, E. D. Grosholz, J. D. Olden, C. J. B. Sorte, D. M. Blumenthal, B. A. Bradley, R. Early, I. Ibáñez, S. J. Jones, J. J. Lawler, and L. P. Miller. 2012. Will extreme climatic events facilitate biological invasions? Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 10: 249-257. (pdf)

Schloss, C. A., T. A. Nuñez, and J. Lawler. 2012. Dispersal will limit ability of mammals to track climate change in the Western Hemisphere. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109: 8606-8611.

Krosby, M., J. Hoffman, J. J. Lawler, and B. H. McRae. 2012. Integrating climate change into conservation planning in Washington State, and the Pacific Northwest. In: C. C. Chester, J. A. Hilty, and M. S. Cross, Editors. Conservation and Climate Disruption: Ecoregional Science and Practice in a Changing Climate. Island Press.

Cross, M. S., E. S. Zavaleta, D. Bachelet, M. Brooks, C. A. F. Enquist, E. Fleishman, L. Graumlich, C. Groves, L. Hannah, L. Hansen, G. Hayward, M. Koopman, J. J. Lawler, J. Malcolm, J. Nordgren, B. Petersen, E. L. Rowland, D. Scott, S. Shafer, R. Shaw, J. Weaver, and G.M. Tabor. 2012. The adaptation for conservation targets (ACT) framework: a tool for incorporating climate change into natural resource management. Environmental Management doi: 10.1007/s00267-012-9893-7.

Trombulak, S. C., R. F. Baldwin, J. J. Lawler, J. Cymerman-Hepinstall, and M. A. Anderson. 2012. Landscape-scale conservation planning for climate change in the Northern Appalachian/Acadian ecoregion. In: C. C. Chester, J. A. Hilty, and M. S. Cross, Editors. Conservation and Climate Disruption: Ecoregional Science and Practice in a Changing Climate. Island Press.

Radeloff, V. C., E. Nelson, A. J. Plantinga, D. J. Lewis, D. Helmers, J. J. Lawler, J. C. Withey, F. Beaudry, S. Martinuzzi, V. Butsic, E. Lonsdorf, D. White, and S. Polasky. 2012. Economic-based projections of future land use in the conterminous U.S. under alternative economic policy scenarios Ecological Applications 22: 1036-1049. (pdf)

Wilsey, C., J. J. Lawler, and D. Cimprich. 2012. Performance of habitat suitability models for the endangered black-capped vireo built with remotely-sensed data. Remote Sensing of Environment 119: 35-42.

Bradley, B. A., D. M. Blumenthal, R. I. Early, E. D. Grosholz, J. J. Lawler, L. P. Miller, C. J. B. Sorte, C. M. D’Antonio, J. M. Diez, J. S. Dukes, I. Ibanez, and J. D. Olden. 2012. Global change, global trade, and the next wave of plant invasions. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. (pdf)

Schloss, C. A., J. J. Lawler, E. R. Larson, H. L. Papendick M. J. Case, D. M. Evans, J. H. DeLap, J.G.R. Langdon, S. A. Hall, and B. H. McRae. 2011. Systematic conservation planning in the face of climate change: bet-hedging on the Columbia Plateau. PLoS ONE 6: e28788. (pdf)

Kostyack, J., J. J. Lawler, D. D. Goble, J. D. Olden, and J. M. Scott. 2011. Beyond reserves and corridors: policy solutions to facilitate the movement of plants and animals in a changing climate. BioScience 61:713-719.

Lawler, J. J. 2011. News and Views: Conservation at any cost. Nature Climate Change 1:350-351.

Lawler, J. J., E. Nelson, M. Conte, S. L. Shafer, D. Ennaanay, and G. Mendoza. 2011. Modeling the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services. In: P. M. Kareiva, T. H. Ricketts, G. C. Daily, H. Tallis, and S. Polasky, Editors. The Theory and Practice of Ecosystem Service Valuation. Oxford University Press.

Bancroft, B. A., B. A. Han, C. L. Searle, L. M. Biga, D. H. Olson, L. B. Kats, J. J. Lawler, and A. R. Blaustein. 2011. Species-level correlates of susceptibility to the pathogenic amphibian fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis in the United States. Biodiversity and Conservation. doi: 10.007/s10531-011-0066-4.

Blaustein, A.R., C. Searle, B.A. Bancroft and J. Lawler. 2011. Global environmental change and amphibian population declines. In: J. Belant and E. Beever Eds. Ecological Consequences of Climate Change: Mechanisms, Conservation, and Management. Taylor & Francis Publishing.

Lawler, J. J., and J. D. Olden. 2011. Reframing the debate over assisted colonization. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. doi: 10.1890/100106. (pdf)

Olden, J. D., M. J. Kennard, J. J. Lawler, N. L. Poff. 2011. Challenges and opportunities in implementing managed relocation for conservation of freshwater species. Conservation Biology 25: 40-47.

Lawler, J. J., Y.F. Wiersma, and F. Huettmann. 2011. Designing predictive models for increased utility: using species distribution models for conservation planning and ecological forecasting. In: Drew, A., Y. F. Wiersma, and F. Huettmann, Editors. Predictive Modeling in Landscape Ecology. Springer Press.

Jantarasami, L. C., J. J. Lawler, and C. W. Thomas. 2010. Institutional barriers to climate-change adaptation in U.S. national parks and forests. Ecology and Society. 15(4): 33. (pdf)

Lawler, J. J., J. A. Hepinstall-Cymerman. 2010. Conservation planning in a changing climate: assessing the impacts of potential range shifts on a reserve network. In: R. Baldwin and S. C. Trombulak, Editors. Multi-scale Conservation Planning. Springer-Verlag.

Blaustein, A. R., S. C. Walls, B. A. Bancroft, J. J. Lawler, C. L. Searle, and S. S. Gervasi. 2010. Direct and indirect effects of climate change on amphibian populations. Diversity 2:281-313. pdf

Lawler, J. J., S. L. Shafer, B. A. Bancroft, and A. R. Blaustein.   2010. Projected climate impacts for the amphibians of the western hemisphere.  Conservation Biology, 24:38-50.

Belant, J. L., E. A. Beever, J. E. Gross, and J. J. Lawler.  2010.  Introduction: special section: ecological responses to contemporary climate change within species, communities, and ecosystems.  Conservation Biology 24:7-9.

Lawler, J. J., T. H. Tear, C. Pyke, R. Shaw, P. Gonzalez, P. Kareiva, L. Hansen, L. Hannah, K. Klausmeyer, A. Aldous, C. Bienz, and S. Pearsall. 2010. Resource management in a changing climate. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. (pdf)

Girvetz, E., C. Zganjar, G. Raber, S. Shafer, P. Kareiva, and J. J. Lawler. Local and regional climate change analysis for science, management, and policy.  PLoS ONE 4(12): e8320. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0008320. (pdf)

West, J. M. S. H. Julius, P. Kareiva, C. Enquist, A. E. Johnson, J. J. Lawler, B. Petersen, and E. R. Shaw.  2009. U.S. Natural resources and climate change: concepts and approaches for management adaptation. Environmental Management 44:1001-1021.(pdf)

Griffith, B., J. M. Scott, R. S. Adamcik, D. M. Ashe, B. Czech, R. Fischman, P. Gonzalez, J. J. Lawler, A. D. McGuire, and A. Pidgorna. 2009. Climate change adaptation options for the U.S. National Wildlife Refuge system. Environmental Management 44:1043-1052.

Pergrams, O. and J. J. Lawler. 2009. Recent and widespread rapid morphological change in rodents.  PLoS ONE 4(12): e6452. (pdf)

Fox, H. E., P. Kareiva, B. Silliman, J. Hitt, D. Lytle, B. S. Halpern, Christine V. Hawkes, J. J. Lawler, M. Neel, J. D. Olden, M. Schlaepfer, K. Smith, and H. Tallis. 2009. Why do we fly? Ecologists' sins of emission. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment.7: 294-296. (pdf)

Lawler, J. J.. 2009. Climate change adaptation strategies for resource management and conservation planning.  Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 1162: 79-98.

Lawler, J. J., S. L. Shafer, D. White, P. Kareiva, E. P. Maurer, A. R. Blaustein, and P. J. Bartlein. 2009. Projected climate-induced faunal change in the western hemisphere. Ecology 90: 588-597. (pdf)

Lawler. J. J. and D. White.  2008. Selecting surrogate species for conservation planning.  Animal Conservation 11: 270-280.

Nelson, E., S. Polasky, D. J. Lewis, A. J. Plantinga, E. Lonsdorf, D. White, D. Bael, and J. J. Lawler.  2008. Efficiency of incentives to produce ecosystem services.  Proceedings of the National Academiy of Sciences, U.S.A. 105:9471-9476.

Olden, J. D., J. J. Lawler, and N. L. Poff. 2008.  Machine learning without tears: a practical primer for ecologists.  Quarterly Review of Biology 83: 171-193.

Angeloni, L. A., M. A. Schlaepfer, J. J. Lawler, and K. R. Crooks.  2008.  A reassessment of the interface between conservation and behaviour.  Animal Behaviour 75: 731-737.

Cutler, D. R., T. C. Edwards, Jr., K. H. Beard, A. Cutler, K. T. Hess, J. Gibson, and J. J. Lawler. 2007.  Random forests for classification in ecology.  Ecology 88: 2783-2792. (pdf)

Grant, J., J. D. Olden, J. J. Lawler, C. R. Nelson, and B Silliman.  2007.  Academic institutions in the United states and Canada ranked according to research productivity in the field of conservation biology. Conservation Biology 21: 1139-1144.

Lawler J. J., J. E. Aukema, J. Grant, B. Halpern, P. Kareiva, C. R. Nelson, K. Ohleth, J. D. Olden, M. A. Schlaepfer, B. Silliman, and P. Zaradic.  2006.  Conservation science: a 20-year report card.  Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 4: 473-480. (pdf)

Lawler, J. J., D. White, R. P. Neilson, and A. R. Blaustein.  2006.  Predicting climate-induced range-shifts: model differences and model reliability. Global Change Biology 12:1568-1584.

Lawler, J. J., and T. C. Edwards Jr.  2006.  A variance-decomposition approach to investigating multiscale habitat associations.  Condor 108: 47-58.

Battin, J. and J. J. Lawler.  2006.  Cross-scale correlations and the design of avian habitat-selection studies.  Condor 108: 59-70.

Lawler, J. J., J. Rubin, B. J. Cosby, S. J. Norton, J. S. Kahl, and I. J. Fernandez.  2005.  Predicting recovery from acid deposition: applying a modified TAF (Tracking Analysis Framework) model to Maine (USA) high elevation lakes. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution 164: 383-399.

Lawler, J. J., and R. J. O’Connor.  2004.  How well do consistently monitored Breeding Bird Survey routes represent the environments of the conterminous United States? Condor 106: 801-814.

Lawler, J. J., R. J. O’Connor, C. T. Hunsaker, K. B. Jones, T. R. Loveland, and D. White.  2004.  The effects of habitat resolution on models of avian diversity and distributions: a comparison of two land-cover classifications.  Landscape Ecology 19: 515-530.

Lawler, J. J., and N. H. Schumaker.  2004.  Evaluating habitat as a surrogate for population viability using a spatially explicit population model.  Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 94: 85-100.

Lawler, J. J., D. White, and L. L. Master.  2003.  Integrating representation and vulnerability: two approaches for identifying areas for conserving species diversity.  Ecological Applications 13: 1762-1772. (pdf)

Lawler, J. J., D. White, J. C. Sifneos, and L. L. Master.  2003.  Rare species and the use of indicator groups for conservation planning.  Conservation Biology 17: 875-882.

Lawler, J. J., S. Campbell, A. D. Guerry, M. B. Kolozsvary, R. J. O’Connor, and L. Seward.  2002.  The scope and treatment of threats in endangered species recovery plans.  Ecological Applications 12: 663-667. (pdf)

Lawler, J. J., and T. C. Edwards, Jr.  2002.  Landscape patterns as habitat predictors: building and testing models for cavity-nesting birds in the Uinta Mountains of Utah, U.S.A.  Landscape Ecology 17: 233-245.

Lawler, J. J., and T. C. Edwards Jr.  2002.  Composition of cavity-nesting bird communities in montane aspen woodland fragments: the roles of landscape context and forest structure.  Condor 104: 890-896.

Campbell, S. P., A. Clark, L. Crampton, A. D. Guerry, L. Hatch, P. R. Hosseini, J. J. Lawler, and R. J. O’Connor.  2002.  Monitoring as a component of recovery plan efforts: an analysis of its current role.  Ecological Applications 12: 674-681. (pdf)

Edwards, T. C., G. G. Moisen, T. S. Frescino, and J. J. Lawler. 2002. Modelling multiple ecological scales to link landscape theory to wildlife conservation. Pages 153-172 in: J. A. Bissonette and I. Storch, Editors. Landscape ecology and resource management: making the linkages, Island Press, Covelo, California.

Wheelwright, N. T., J. J. Lawler, and J. H. Wienstein.  1997.  Nest-site selection in Savannah sparrows: using gulls as scarecrows?  Animal Behaviour 53: 197-208.