ThinkEcon
ThinkEcon was founded by graduates of the University of Washington Department of Economics. It is a forum to continue economic discourse and discussion.
ThinkEcon organizes seminars to sharpen and refresh members' skills in the economic way of thinking and communicating. Seminars cover economic theory and policy applications in a casual atmosphere. The goal is to engage members in hands-on methods of economic analysis. ThinkEcon is not an environment for passive listening, its mission is to foster dynamic interaction among an informed group of graduates.
The seminar setting is fundamental to the ThinkEcon structure. Presenters are invited to communicate economic concepts effectively to non academics. Reading bibliographies are available in advance, to allow for informed discussion. A facilitator moderates the interaction between the presenter and participants to prevent a degeneration into either lecture or press conference formats.
ThinkEcon is also an experiment in continued education and networking for like-minded graduates. Many students complete their degrees in economics to find themselves pursuing careers that are removed from core economic theory and policy debates. ThinkEcon provides individuals with the opportunity to engage in economic discussions that involve policy, theory applications and insights into the mechanics of various sectors of the economy. ThinkEcon seeks to serves as a catalyst for post undergraduate economic understanding and engagement. To this end ThinkEcon seminars begin casually, providing members time to socialize at their leisure.
Members are welcome to invite guests for seminars. All guests are asked to read the mission statement on ThinkEcon's web page prior to their participation. All guests are encouraged to read the suggested reading.
Seminars start with 30 to 60 minutes social time. ThinkEcon provides wine and cheese.
ThinkEcon Meetings commence with discussion and determination of the next seminar date and topic, including the selection of the moderator and the secretary.
A bibliography of readings is provided by the presenter two weeks in advance to minimize the time spent on clarification of basic mechanics and terminology.
A moderator then introduces the presenter, the presenter's background and his special ability to lead the discussion.
The presenter takes 15-25 minutes to lay theoretical and policy groundwork. Thereafter the moderator engages the group and the presenter in a free discussion for another 90 minutes
Following the seminar, social time continues at a local restaurant.
America For Sale? Outsourcing and the
Wealth of This Nation
January 28
Derek Kalles, Accenture
Soros or Fundamentals? Anatomies
of Financial Crises
March TBA
Andrew Mccallum, Economist, San Francisco Fed (UW
04)
(What) To tax or not to tax. Economics of a Washington Tax
Reform
April TBA
Neil Bruce, Economist, University of Washington
PAST SEMINARS
The rise and fall of Intellectual property rights: The case of the computer industry.
Nov 12
Jacques Lawaree, Economist, Microsoft
Third Annual: Marginal Margaritas Meeting
Theo Eicher,
August 1 2003
Hidden Action and Hidden Information -- Incentive Issues in
Everyday Life
Fahad Khalil, Ph.D.
09 April 2004
Suggested
Readings
Seminar Summary: Incentives seek to solve the problems of hidden
action or hidden information. Why is a razor handle virtually free? Why do
airline tickets get cheaper when your trip includes a Saturday night? Division
of tips in a Sushi restaurant. Some key aspects of the contract between HMOs and
Physicians. These are some examples of the themes we will discuss. We will use a
theoretical framework to analyze the motivation for and structure of incentives,
and then apply it to examples from our lives. We will begin the night by
collecting detailed examples of incentive issues you face. Please come prepared
to provide examples of bonus and anti-shirking schemes at your place of
employment, insurance contracts in which you participate and other incentive
questions that have always plagued you.
U.S. Fiscal Policies and Priorities for Long-Run
Sustainability
Matt Sherman and Andrew McCallum
20 February 2004
Suggested
Readings
Seminar Summary: Although U.S. fiscal policy has undoubtedly
provided valuable support to the global economy in recent years, large U.S.
fiscal deficits also pose significant risks for the rest of the world. Please be
prepared to respond to the following: 1.) Does the presence of a substantial
budget deficit impact the average American citizen? 2.) Given the recent
economic slowdown within the United States, what other methods were available to
avoid this massive episode of deficit spending? 3.) Has the US acted
irresponsibly to either its own citizens or those of other nations in creating a
deficit of this size? 4.) As a percentage of GDP, are current deficit levels
acceptable? 5.) Assuming the budget deficit is within reasonable limits when
considered as a percentage of GDP, at what point does sheer dollar value
overshadow this measure? 6.) How will US leaders create the necessary political
will to make possible changes?
Losing More than Boeing - Washington's unsustainable business
environment
Bethany Carlson
21 November 2003
Suggested
Readings
Seminar Summary: I assert that Washington's economic boom in the
1990's was an artificial function of luck rather than a natural result of
planned cultivation of business. I consequently predict that Washington's
economy is poised for a protracted decline without significant infrastructural
changes. Please be prepared to address the following questions: Do you agree or
disagree, and why? Even if you disagree with this assertion and/or prediction,
there are clearly issues that should be addressed to improve Washington's
economic prospects: 1.) What one infrastructural change takes top priority and
why? (e.g., tax structure, transportation, public awareness, relationship with
unions, education, etc.) 2.) Will changes in the business environment taking
place nationally and globally on the whole accelerate, retard, or reverse
Washington's economic decline, all else remaining equal? (e.g., easier/cheaper
transport, reduction of trade barriers, exporting of white collar jobs, etc.)
3.) Where should Washington look to find a template to adopt for improving the
business environment? 4.) Is meaningful improvement in Washington's business
environment possible without a change in public perception of the role of
business in the state? How important or relevant is public sentiment on this
issue?
Will the BRICs lead the way to 2050?
Bryan Morales
17
October 2003
Suggested
Readings
Seminar Summary: What will the world look like in 50 years? In
the upcoming half-century, the BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India, and China)
may become dominant forces in the global landscape. As these rapidly developing
countries implement institutions that are supportive of growth, the list of the
world's ten most productive economies may look quite different by 2050.
Specifically, please be prepared to address questions similar to the following:
1) What will the ten largest economies ($USD GDP) be in 2050? 2) How will total
BRIC GDP ($USD) compare to that of the G7 in 2050? 3) What percentage of global
GDP ($USD) will BRIC economies contribute in 2050? 4) How will BRIC growth rates
change throughout the next 50 years? 5) How will per capita income within BRIC
nations compare to that of other developed countries in 2050? 6) Which specific
factors are most relevant for the future economic success of each country? 7)
Can these developing countries really grow fast enough to surpass global
leaders, such as the US?
Losing More than Boeing - Washington's unsustainable business
environment
Bethany Carlson, Mercer Consulting,
21 November 2003
Suggested
Readings
Seminar Summary: I assert that Washington's economic boom in the
1990's was an artificial function of luck rather than a natural result of
planned cultivation of business. I consequently predict that Washington's
economy is poised for a protracted decline without significant infrastructural
changes. Please be prepared to address the following questions: Do you agree or
disagree, and why? Even if you disagree with this assertion and/or prediction,
there are clearly issues that should be addressed to improve Washington's
economic prospects: 1.) What one infrastructural change takes top priority and
why? (e.g., tax structure, transportation, public awareness, relationship with
unions, education, etc.) 2.) Will changes in the business environment taking
place nationally and globally on the whole accelerate, retard, or reverse
Washington's economic decline, all else remaining equal? (e.g., easier/cheaper
transport, reduction of trade barriers, exporting of white collar jobs, etc.)
3.) Where should Washington look to find a template to adopt for improving the
business environment? 4.) Is meaningful improvement in Washington's business
environment possible without a change in public perception of the role of
business in the state? How important or relevant is public sentiment on this
issue?
U.S. Fiscal Policies and Priorities for Long-Run
Sustainability
Matt Sherman and Andrew McCallum, UW Economics, 20
February 2004
Suggested
Readings
Seminar Summary: Although U.S. fiscal policy has undoubtedly
provided valuable support to the global economy in recent years, large U.S.
fiscal deficits also pose significant risks for the rest of the world. Please be
prepared to respond to the following: 1.) Does the presence of a substantial
budget deficit impact the average American citizen? 2.) Given the recent
economic slowdown within the United States, what other methods were available to
avoid this massive episode of deficit spending? 3.) Has the US acted
irresponsibly to either its own citizens or those of other nations in creating a
deficit of this size? 4.) As a percentage of GDP, are current deficit levels
acceptable? 5.) Assuming the budget deficit is within reasonable limits when
considered as a percentage of GDP, at what point does sheer dollar value
overshadow this measure? 6.) How will US leaders create the necessary political
will to make possible changes?
Second Annual: Marginal Margaritas Meeting
Theo Eicher,
August 1 2003
To Pay of Not To Pay: The Economics of Higher
Education
Paul Vronsky, UW June 13 2003
Suggested
Reading
Technical Analysis of Foreign Exchange Trading
Bryan
Morales, TexacoChevron, May 16, 2003
Suggested Readings
Fish Hatcheries – And Market Forces. Fresh Economics or Rotten
Sushi?
Jackson Wilson, WA Dept of Fishing and Wildlife, April 11,
2003
Suggested Readings
Show me the money: The Economics of Politics
Gerald
Willmann, Kiel Univ and Stanford, Saturday Feb 22, 2003
Suggested
Readings
(In)Credible Commitments. The Economics of the American
Revolution
Andy Rutten, Stanford, Jan 31 2003
Suggested
Readings
The Dollar, Roller Coasting International Financial
Markets
Bryan Morales, ChevronTexaco, Dec 7 2002
Suggested
Readings (preliminary)
Pollution Permits – Clean Economics or Dirty
Air?
Allen Bellas, UW, Oct 7 2002
Suggested
Readings
Marginal Margaritas Meeting
Theo Eicher, August 1
2002