{"id":2892,"date":"2020-12-21T12:19:36","date_gmt":"2020-12-21T20:19:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=2892"},"modified":"2020-12-22T12:21:02","modified_gmt":"2020-12-22T20:21:02","slug":"household-bubbles-and-covid-19-transmission-insights-from-percolation-theory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/12\/21\/household-bubbles-and-covid-19-transmission-insights-from-percolation-theory\/","title":{"rendered":"Household Bubbles and COVID-19 Transmission Insights from Percolation Theory"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>[Pre-print, not peer-reviewed]<\/i> After developing a network description of households in the UK, and using a configuration model to link households, bubbling scenarios in which single-person households join with another household had a minimal impact on network connectivity and transmission potential (increase in reproduction number of 0.3).<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Scenarios where all households formed a bubble were likely to lead to extensive transmission (increase in reproduction number of 2.84-3.55). The impact of scenarios that varied in bubble uptake and size could be mitigated by reducing the number of contacts outside the household.<\/p>\n<p><i>Danon et al. (Dec 18, 2020). Household Bubbles and COVID-19 Transmission Insights from Percolation Theory. Pre-print downloaded Dec 21 from<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.12.16.20248311v2\">https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.12.16.20248311v2<\/a><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[Pre-print, not peer-reviewed] After developing a network description of households in the UK, and using a configuration model to link households, bubbling scenarios in which single-person households join with another household had a minimal impact on network connectivity and transmission potential (increase in reproduction number of 0.3).\u00a0 Scenarios where all households formed a bubble were&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/12\/21\/household-bubbles-and-covid-19-transmission-insights-from-percolation-theory\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[47,38],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-2892","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","tag-modeling-prediction","tag-transmission","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2892","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2892"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2892\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2893,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2892\/revisions\/2893"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2892"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2892"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2892"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=2892"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}