{"id":3612,"date":"2021-02-02T21:00:44","date_gmt":"2021-02-03T05:00:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=3612"},"modified":"2021-02-02T21:00:44","modified_gmt":"2021-02-03T05:00:44","slug":"high-variability-in-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-within-households-and-implications-for-control","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/02\/02\/high-variability-in-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-within-households-and-implications-for-control\/","title":{"rendered":"High Variability in Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within Households and Implications for Control"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>[Pre-print, not peer reviewed] <\/i>A probabilistic model based upon SARS-CoV-2 antibody and PCR test data from more than 9000 Utah households estimated a 35% household secondary attack rate. In contrast, the crude estimate for household attack rate unadjusted for serological test specificity was 15%. Given the high attack rate, the authors predict that the mean non-household transmissions per case must be &lt;0.4 to avoid continued growth of the Utah epidemic. High variability in household transmission was also observed, which the authors suggest is consistent with transmission being driven by a few superspreading individuals.<\/p>\n<p><i>Toth et al. (Feb 1, 2021). High Variability in Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within Households and Implications for Control. Pre-print downloaded Feb 2 from <\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2021.01.29.20248797\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2021.01.29.20248797<\/a><i><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[Pre-print, not peer reviewed] A probabilistic model based upon SARS-CoV-2 antibody and PCR test data from more than 9000 Utah households estimated a 35% household secondary attack rate. In contrast, the crude estimate for household attack rate unadjusted for serological test specificity was 15%. Given the high attack rate, the authors predict that the mean&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/02\/02\/high-variability-in-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-within-households-and-implications-for-control\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[38],"topic":[21],"class_list":["post-3612","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","tag-transmission","topic-transmission"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3612","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3612"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3612\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3613,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3612\/revisions\/3613"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3612"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3612"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3612"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=3612"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}