{"id":4007,"date":"2020-02-04T13:46:38","date_gmt":"2020-02-04T21:46:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=4007"},"modified":"2021-02-16T13:48:00","modified_gmt":"2021-02-16T21:48:00","slug":"early-dynamics-of-transmission-and-control-of-2019-ncov-a-mathematical-modelling-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/04\/early-dynamics-of-transmission-and-control-of-2019-ncov-a-mathematical-modelling-study\/","title":{"rendered":"Early dynamics of transmission and control of 2019-nCoV: a mathematical modelling study"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In locations with \u201csimilar transmission potential as Wuhan,\u201d three or more introduced cases will lead to a more than 50% chance of the infection becoming established in that locale\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Kucharski, et al. Pre-print downloaded 2 Feb, 2020 at, <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.01.31.20019901v1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.01.31.20019901v1<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In locations with \u201csimilar transmission potential as Wuhan,\u201d three or more introduced cases will lead to a more than 50% chance of the infection becoming established in that locale\u00a0 Kucharski, et al. Pre-print downloaded 2 Feb, 2020 at, https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.01.31.20019901v1\u00a0 &nbsp;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/04\/early-dynamics-of-transmission-and-control-of-2019-ncov-a-mathematical-modelling-study\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-4007","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4007","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4007"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4007\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4008,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4007\/revisions\/4008"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4007"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4007"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4007"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=4007"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}