{"id":4032,"date":"2020-02-05T14:49:46","date_gmt":"2020-02-05T22:49:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=4032"},"modified":"2021-02-16T14:50:53","modified_gmt":"2021-02-16T22:50:53","slug":"risk-assessment-of-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-outbreaks-outside-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/05\/risk-assessment-of-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-outbreaks-outside-china\/","title":{"rendered":"Risk assessment of novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV outbreaks outside China"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Boldog, et al. model the risk for 2019-nCoV outbreaks outside China by developing local reproduction numbers (R<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">loc<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">) that incorporate factors affecting epidemiology in China and new locations, and their connectivity.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Countries should balance controlling spread after introduction with preventing introduction. Countries with a low ability to control spread should focus on travel restrictions and traveler screening; whereas those better able, should focus on internal control activities. (Those in between should balance both.)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Boldog P, et al. (Feb 5, 2020). Risk assessment of novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV outbreaks outside China. Pre-Print downloaded on 5 Feb, 2020 from, <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.02.04.20020503v1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.02.04.20020503v1<\/span><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Boldog, et al. model the risk for 2019-nCoV outbreaks outside China by developing local reproduction numbers (Rloc) that incorporate factors affecting epidemiology in China and new locations, and their connectivity.\u00a0 Countries should balance controlling spread after introduction with preventing introduction. Countries with a low ability to control spread should focus on travel restrictions and traveler&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/05\/risk-assessment-of-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-outbreaks-outside-china\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-4032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4032"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4032\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4033,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4032\/revisions\/4033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4032"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=4032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}