{"id":4152,"date":"2020-02-10T14:46:26","date_gmt":"2020-02-10T22:46:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=4152"},"modified":"2021-02-19T16:18:27","modified_gmt":"2021-02-20T00:18:27","slug":"2019-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-estimating-the-case-fatality-rate-a-word-of-caution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/10\/2019-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-estimating-the-case-fatality-rate-a-word-of-caution\/","title":{"rendered":"2019-Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV): estimating the case fatality rate \u2013 a word of caution"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Time between diagnosis and death\/recovery in addition to underreporting of cases will have tremendous spatiotemporal variation globally.\u00a0<\/span>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Wuhan case fatality estimates are likely overestimated due to vast underreporting of mild and asymptomatic cases.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Delayed identification of 2019-nCoV deaths outside of Wuhan could mean that case fatality estimated based on non-Wuhan cases underestimate true case fatality.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Geographic differences in case fatality could be related to structural factors, like access to health care and the type of health care available.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Manuel et al. (Feb 7, 2020). 2019-Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV): estimating the case fatality rate \u2013 a word of caution. Swiss Med Wkly. <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/smw.ch\/article\/doi\/smw.2020.20203\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/smw.ch\/article\/doi\/smw.2020.20203<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Time between diagnosis and death\/recovery in addition to underreporting of cases will have tremendous spatiotemporal variation globally.\u00a0 Wuhan case fatality estimates are likely overestimated due to vast underreporting of mild and asymptomatic cases.\u00a0 Delayed identification of 2019-nCoV deaths outside of Wuhan could mean that case fatality estimated based on non-Wuhan cases underestimate true case fatality.\u00a0&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/10\/2019-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-estimating-the-case-fatality-rate-a-word-of-caution\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[21],"class_list":["post-4152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-transmission"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4152"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4152\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4153,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4152\/revisions\/4153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4152"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=4152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}