{"id":4158,"date":"2020-02-10T14:50:17","date_gmt":"2020-02-10T22:50:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=4158"},"modified":"2021-02-17T14:51:13","modified_gmt":"2021-02-17T22:51:13","slug":"analysis-of-the-epidemic-growth-of-the-early-2019-ncov-outbreak-using-internationally-confirmed-cases","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/10\/analysis-of-the-epidemic-growth-of-the-early-2019-ncov-outbreak-using-internationally-confirmed-cases\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis of the epidemic growth of the early 2019-nCoV outbreak using internationally confirmed cases"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Using clinical, travel history, and disease progression information for 46 2019-nCoV cases who traveled from Wuhan before Jan 23 and were subsequently confirmed elsewhere, researchers attempted to model transmission dynamics with more precision than previous reports by simulating infection time.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Findings suggest a much higher epidemic growth rate in the early days of the outbreak in Wuhan than previous reports, with a 2.9 day doubling time.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Zhao et al. (Feb 9, 2020). Analysis of the epidemic growth of the early 2019-nCoV outbreak using internationally confirmed cases. Pre Print downloaded Feb 10 from <\/span><\/i><a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.02.06.20020941\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.02.06.20020941<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Using clinical, travel history, and disease progression information for 46 2019-nCoV cases who traveled from Wuhan before Jan 23 and were subsequently confirmed elsewhere, researchers attempted to model transmission dynamics with more precision than previous reports by simulating infection time.\u00a0 Findings suggest a much higher epidemic growth rate in the early days of the outbreak&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/10\/analysis-of-the-epidemic-growth-of-the-early-2019-ncov-outbreak-using-internationally-confirmed-cases\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-4158","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4158","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4158"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4158\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4159,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4158\/revisions\/4159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4158"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4158"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4158"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=4158"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}