{"id":4623,"date":"2020-02-25T13:32:04","date_gmt":"2020-02-25T21:32:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=4623"},"modified":"2021-02-22T13:32:56","modified_gmt":"2021-02-22T21:32:56","slug":"effectiveness-of-intervention-strategies-for-coronavirus-disease-2019-and-an-estimation-of-its-1-peak-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/25\/effectiveness-of-intervention-strategies-for-coronavirus-disease-2019-and-an-estimation-of-its-1-peak-time\/","title":{"rendered":"Effectiveness of intervention strategies for Coronavirus Disease 2019 and an estimation of its 1 peak time"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Pan et al. developed two mathematical SEIR models to simulate the current COVID-10 outbreak. The models predicted decline of the basic reproductive number R0 from 5.75 to 1.69 in Wuhan and 6.22 to 1.67 elsewhere in China from 19 January to 16 February 2020. The results also predict the peak of new asymptomatic cases per day, new symptomatic infections, and COVID-19 inpatients in Wuhan. Models suggest that the number of confirmed cases may decrease to less than 10 on March 27 in Wuhan and March 19 in the other parts of China.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Pan et al. (Feb 23, 2020). Effectiveness of intervention strategies for Coronavirus Disease 2019 and an estimation of its 1 peak time:\u00a0 Pre-print downloaded Feb 25 from <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.02.19.20025387\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.02.19.20025387<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pan et al. developed two mathematical SEIR models to simulate the current COVID-10 outbreak. The models predicted decline of the basic reproductive number R0 from 5.75 to 1.69 in Wuhan and 6.22 to 1.67 elsewhere in China from 19 January to 16 February 2020. The results also predict the peak of new asymptomatic cases per&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/25\/effectiveness-of-intervention-strategies-for-coronavirus-disease-2019-and-an-estimation-of-its-1-peak-time\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-4623","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4623","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4623"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4623\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4624,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4623\/revisions\/4624"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4623"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4623"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4623"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=4623"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}