{"id":4710,"date":"2020-02-27T13:09:31","date_gmt":"2020-02-27T21:09:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=4710"},"modified":"2021-02-23T13:10:32","modified_gmt":"2021-02-23T21:10:32","slug":"estimation-of-country-level-basic-reproductive-ratios-for-novel-coronavirus-covid-19-using-synthetic-contact-matrices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/27\/estimation-of-country-level-basic-reproductive-ratios-for-novel-coronavirus-covid-19-using-synthetic-contact-matrices\/","title":{"rendered":"Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hilton and Keeling, in their estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices, predict that R0 will be highest across Eastern Europe and Japan, and lowest across Africa, Central America and South-Western Asia. They argue that this pattern is largely driven by the demographics; ratio of children to older adults in each country and the observed propensity of clinical cases in the elderly.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hilton and Keeling (Feb 27, 2020).<\/span><\/i> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel <\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Coronavirus (COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices<\/span><\/i> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Pre-print downloaded Feb 27, 2020 from <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.02.26.20028167\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.02.26.20028167<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hilton and Keeling, in their estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices, predict that R0 will be highest across Eastern Europe and Japan, and lowest across Africa, Central America and South-Western Asia. They argue that this pattern is largely driven by the demographics; ratio of children to older&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/02\/27\/estimation-of-country-level-basic-reproductive-ratios-for-novel-coronavirus-covid-19-using-synthetic-contact-matrices\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-4710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4710","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4710"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4710\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4711,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4710\/revisions\/4711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4710"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4710"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4710"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=4710"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}