{"id":5258,"date":"2021-03-01T01:25:11","date_gmt":"2021-03-01T09:25:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=5258"},"modified":"2021-03-02T01:26:14","modified_gmt":"2021-03-02T09:26:14","slug":"long-thin-transmission-chains-of-severe-acute-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-2-may-go-undetected-for-several-weeks-at-low-to-moderate-reproduction-numbers-implications-for-containment-and-eliminat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/03\/01\/long-thin-transmission-chains-of-severe-acute-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-2-may-go-undetected-for-several-weeks-at-low-to-moderate-reproduction-numbers-implications-for-containment-and-eliminat\/","title":{"rendered":"Long, Thin Transmission Chains of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 May Go Undetected for Several Weeks at Low to Moderate Reproduction Numbers: Implications for Containment and Elimination Strategy"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>Low reproduction numbers can lead to long, thin transmission chains that may span three or more viral generations before a clearly symptomatic case occurs, according to a series of mathematical models developed to assess the impacts of delayed index case identification in the context of SARS-CoV-2. Such chains may be underrepresented in routine surveillance data, which can lead to surveillance \u201cblind spots\u201d. The authors argue that as a result, SARS-CoV-2 case and contact management may be feasible to partially contain transmission, but only in the context of sensitive surveillance systems.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i>Killeen et al. (Feb 2021). Long, Thin Transmission Chains of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 May Go Undetected for Several Weeks at Low to Moderate Reproduction Numbers: Implications for Containment and Elimination Strategy. Infectious Disease Modelling. <\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.idm.2021.02.002\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.idm.2021.02.002<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Low reproduction numbers can lead to long, thin transmission chains that may span three or more viral generations before a clearly symptomatic case occurs, according to a series of mathematical models developed to assess the impacts of delayed index case identification in the context of SARS-CoV-2. Such chains may be underrepresented in routine surveillance data,&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/03\/01\/long-thin-transmission-chains-of-severe-acute-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-2-may-go-undetected-for-several-weeks-at-low-to-moderate-reproduction-numbers-implications-for-containment-and-eliminat\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[39],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-5258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","tag-modeling","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5258"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5258\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5259,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5258\/revisions\/5259"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5258"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=5258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}