{"id":5372,"date":"2020-03-23T14:31:02","date_gmt":"2020-03-23T21:31:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=5372"},"modified":"2021-03-02T14:32:01","modified_gmt":"2021-03-02T22:32:01","slug":"the-effectiveness-of-social-distancing-in-mitigating-covid-19-spread-a-modelling-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/03\/23\/the-effectiveness-of-social-distancing-in-mitigating-covid-19-spread-a-modelling-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"The Effectiveness of Social Distancing in Mitigating COVID-19 Spread: a modelling analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">By adapting an established simulation model based on the infection history of individual cases, the authors find that application of 4 social distancing interventions (school closure, workplace non-attendance, increased case isolation and community contact reduction) is highly effective in flattening the epidemic curve.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">These interventions were found to be effective even 10 weeks after the first index cases. The most effective intervention was increasing case isolation to 100% of children and 90% of adults.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">While effective, these interventions are highly disruptive to society and creates challenges for government officials, who need to consider what the population can sustain.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Milne &amp; Xie (Mar 21, 2020). The Effectiveness of Social Distancing in Mitigating COVID-19 Spread: a modelling analysis. Pre-print downloaded Mar 23 from <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.03.20.20040055\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.03.20.20040055<\/span><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By adapting an established simulation model based on the infection history of individual cases, the authors find that application of 4 social distancing interventions (school closure, workplace non-attendance, increased case isolation and community contact reduction) is highly effective in flattening the epidemic curve. These interventions were found to be effective even 10 weeks after the&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/03\/23\/the-effectiveness-of-social-distancing-in-mitigating-covid-19-spread-a-modelling-analysis\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[22],"class_list":["post-5372","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-non-pharmaceutical-interventions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5372","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5372"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5372\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5373,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5372\/revisions\/5373"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5372"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5372"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5372"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=5372"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}