{"id":5624,"date":"2020-04-02T15:04:55","date_gmt":"2020-04-02T22:04:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=5624"},"modified":"2021-03-03T15:05:46","modified_gmt":"2021-03-03T23:05:46","slug":"using-observational-data-to-quantify-bias-of-traveller-derived-covid-19-prevalence-estimates-in-wuhan-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/04\/02\/using-observational-data-to-quantify-bias-of-traveller-derived-covid-19-prevalence-estimates-in-wuhan-china\/","title":{"rendered":"Using observational data to quantify bias of traveller-derived COVID-19 prevalence estimates in Wuhan, China"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Neihus et al use a Bayesian modelling approach to estimate various countries\u2019 capacity to detect imported COVID-19 cases from Wuhan, using Singapore\u2019s capacity as a gold standard.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Findings suggest that the global weighted ability to detect cases was only 38% of Singapore\u2019s capacity, ranging from 11% in locations with low surveillance capacity to 40% in locations with high surveillance capacity.\u00a0 Case counts in travelers could have been underestimated several-fold, and undetected cases of COVID-19 have probably spread to most locations around the world.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Niehus et al. (April 1, 2020). Using observational data to quantify bias of traveller-derived COVID-19 prevalence estimates in Wuhan, China. Lancet Infect Dis. <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S1473-3099(20)30229-2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S1473-3099(20)30229-2<\/span><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Neihus et al use a Bayesian modelling approach to estimate various countries\u2019 capacity to detect imported COVID-19 cases from Wuhan, using Singapore\u2019s capacity as a gold standard. Findings suggest that the global weighted ability to detect cases was only 38% of Singapore\u2019s capacity, ranging from 11% in locations with low surveillance capacity to 40% in&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/04\/02\/using-observational-data-to-quantify-bias-of-traveller-derived-covid-19-prevalence-estimates-in-wuhan-china\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[21],"class_list":["post-5624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-transmission"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5624","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5624"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5624\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5625,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5624\/revisions\/5625"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5624"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5624"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5624"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=5624"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}