{"id":5747,"date":"2020-04-08T16:50:56","date_gmt":"2020-04-08T23:50:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=5747"},"modified":"2021-03-03T16:51:57","modified_gmt":"2021-03-04T00:51:57","slug":"covid-19-pandemic-impact-of-lockdown-contact-and-non-contact-transmissions-on-infection-dynamics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/04\/08\/covid-19-pandemic-impact-of-lockdown-contact-and-non-contact-transmissions-on-infection-dynamics\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19 pandemic: Impact of lockdown, contact and non-contact transmissions on infection dynamics."},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Roy adapted the classical epidemic modelling framework and incorporated a direct person-to-person contact and indirect airborne and fomites-driven transmission parameters to assess the effectiveness of lockdown. To be effective, the models suggest that considerable reduction in both contact and non-contact transmission rates over a long period is required. The author concludes that any premature withdrawal of lockdown can lead to a quicker, sharper and higher secondary peak and recommends exit policies from lockdown using accurate time-series data on infection cases and transmission rates.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Roy (April 4, 2020). COVID-19 pandemic: Impact of lockdown, contact and non-contact transmissions on infection dynamics.<\/span><\/i> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Pre-print downloaded Apr 8 from <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.04.04.20050328\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.04.04.20050328<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Roy adapted the classical epidemic modelling framework and incorporated a direct person-to-person contact and indirect airborne and fomites-driven transmission parameters to assess the effectiveness of lockdown. To be effective, the models suggest that considerable reduction in both contact and non-contact transmission rates over a long period is required. The author concludes that any premature withdrawal&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/04\/08\/covid-19-pandemic-impact-of-lockdown-contact-and-non-contact-transmissions-on-infection-dynamics\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-5747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5747","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5747"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5747\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5748,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5747\/revisions\/5748"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5747"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5747"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5747"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=5747"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}