{"id":6131,"date":"2020-04-17T14:24:49","date_gmt":"2020-04-17T21:24:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6131"},"modified":"2021-03-09T14:26:08","modified_gmt":"2021-03-09T22:26:08","slug":"covid-19-pandemic-a-hill-type-mathematical-model-predicts-the-us-death-number-and-the-reopening-date","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/04\/17\/covid-19-pandemic-a-hill-type-mathematical-model-predicts-the-us-death-number-and-the-reopening-date\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19 pandemic: A Hill type mathematical model predicts the US death number and the reopening date"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Aboelkassem presents a model to predict the total number of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the U.S. and the reopening date. The model estimates that by mid-June or early July the outbreak will sharply decline, and the U.S. will have about 736K confirmed cases and about 41K deaths.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The author suggests that late May or early June could be a good time to end the shutdown order and reopen the country.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Aboelkassem (Apr 12, 2020). COVID-19 pandemic: A Hill type mathematical model predicts the US death number and the reopening date. Pre-print downloaded Apr 17 from <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.04.12.20062893\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.04.12.20062893<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aboelkassem presents a model to predict the total number of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the U.S. and the reopening date. The model estimates that by mid-June or early July the outbreak will sharply decline, and the U.S. will have about 736K confirmed cases and about 41K deaths.\u00a0 The author suggests that late May or&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/04\/17\/covid-19-pandemic-a-hill-type-mathematical-model-predicts-the-us-death-number-and-the-reopening-date\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-6131","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6131","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6131"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6131\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6132,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6131\/revisions\/6132"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6131"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6131"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6131"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6131"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}