{"id":6500,"date":"2020-05-01T15:40:31","date_gmt":"2020-05-01T22:40:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6500"},"modified":"2021-03-12T15:41:36","modified_gmt":"2021-03-12T23:41:36","slug":"the-covid-19-epidemic-its-mortality-and-the-role-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/01\/the-covid-19-epidemic-its-mortality-and-the-role-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions\/","title":{"rendered":"The COVID-19 Epidemic, Its Mortality, and the Role of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">This review discusses the importance of understanding the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 (e.g., using the basic reproduction number (R<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">) to estimate the overall number of people likely to be infected). Although there is considerable uncertainty, model-based predictions of changes in transmission over time can provide insights into the epidemiological situation, support policy makers to develop a resilience strategy for the period until effective pharmaceutical interventions are available, and identify whether outbreak control measures are having a measurable effect.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hens, Vranck, and Molenberghs. (May 1, 2020). The COVID-19 Epidemic, Its Mortality, and the Role of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions. European Heart Journal: Acute Cardiovascular Care. <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/2048872620924922\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/2048872620924922<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This review discusses the importance of understanding the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 (e.g., using the basic reproduction number (R0) to estimate the overall number of people likely to be infected). Although there is considerable uncertainty, model-based predictions of changes in transmission over time can provide insights into the epidemiological situation, support policy makers to develop&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/01\/the-covid-19-epidemic-its-mortality-and-the-role-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[22],"class_list":["post-6500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-non-pharmaceutical-interventions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6500","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6500"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6500\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6501,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6500\/revisions\/6501"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6500"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}