{"id":6599,"date":"2020-05-04T14:13:49","date_gmt":"2020-05-04T21:13:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6599"},"modified":"2021-03-16T14:14:51","modified_gmt":"2021-03-16T21:14:51","slug":"population-scale-testing-can-suppress-the-spread-of-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/04\/population-scale-testing-can-suppress-the-spread-of-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Population-Scale Testing Can Suppress the Spread of COVID-19"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"38\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Authors in Sweden\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">demonstrate that identification and isolation of\u00a0the majority of\u00a0infectious individuals (including those who are asymptomatic)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0by testing the entire population, repeatedly<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0(i.e., through home test kits submitted by mail)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, would\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">yield\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&lt;1<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">False positives can be tolerated as this would simply result in unnecessary quarantine, and the authors model the impact of false negatives using both\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a standard epidemiological model (SIR) and\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a stochastic model built on a social network graph.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">strategy\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0effective at any preval<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ence level<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, and the authors\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">suggest<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0this approach is cost-effective<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0but\u00a0do\u00a0not appear to have done a formal cost-effectiveness analysis<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Taipale et al. (<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">May 1,\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">2020). Population-Scale Testing Can Suppress the Spread of COVID-19.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Pre-print\u00a0downloaded\u00a0May 4 from\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Medrxiv.<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.04.27.20078329\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.04.27.20078329<\/span><\/i><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Authors in Sweden\u00a0demonstrate that identification and isolation of\u00a0the majority of\u00a0infectious individuals (including those who are asymptomatic)\u00a0by testing the entire population, repeatedly\u00a0(i.e., through home test kits submitted by mail), would\u00a0yield\u00a0R0&lt;1.\u00a0False positives can be tolerated as this would simply result in unnecessary quarantine, and the authors model the impact of false negatives using both\u00a0a standard epidemiological model&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/04\/population-scale-testing-can-suppress-the-spread-of-covid-19\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[22],"class_list":["post-6599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-non-pharmaceutical-interventions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6599"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6599\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6600,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6599\/revisions\/6600"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6599"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}