{"id":6656,"date":"2020-05-06T15:23:17","date_gmt":"2020-05-06T22:23:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6656"},"modified":"2021-03-16T15:24:08","modified_gmt":"2021-03-16T22:24:08","slug":"a-simple-method-for-estimating-the-number-of-unconfirmed-covid-19-cases-in-a-local-area-that-includes-a-confidence-interval-a-case-study-of-whatcom-county-washington","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/06\/a-simple-method-for-estimating-the-number-of-unconfirmed-covid-19-cases-in-a-local-area-that-includes-a-confidence-interval-a-case-study-of-whatcom-county-washington\/","title":{"rendered":"A Simple Method for Estimating the Number of Unconfirmed COVID-19 Cases\u00a0in\u00a0a Local Area that Includes a Confidence Interval:\u00a0A Case Study of Whatcom County Washington"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"36\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Swanson and Cassman\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">estimate the number of positive, unconfirmed COVID-19 cases in Whatcom County, Washington and construct a confidence interval around the estimate, using a previously established method employed by demographers to estimate a population in the absence of a census count<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0On April 25, 2020, when Whatcom County had reported\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">284 confirmed cases, the authors estimate that there were 2,670 (95% CI 2,025 \u2013 3,936) unconfirmed positive cases.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:360,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Swanson<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0&amp;<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0Cossman<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0(May\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">5<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">, 2020).\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">A Simple Method for Estimating the Number of Unconfirmed COVID-19 Cases<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0in\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">a Local Area that Includes a Confidence Interval<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">:<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0A Case Study of Whatcom County Washington<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0Pre-print\u00a0downloaded May 6 from\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.04.30.20086181\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.04.30.20086181<\/span><\/a><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Swanson and Cassman\u00a0estimate the number of positive, unconfirmed COVID-19 cases in Whatcom County, Washington and construct a confidence interval around the estimate, using a previously established method employed by demographers to estimate a population in the absence of a census count.\u00a0On April 25, 2020, when Whatcom County had reported\u00a0284 confirmed cases, the authors estimate that&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/06\/a-simple-method-for-estimating-the-number-of-unconfirmed-covid-19-cases-in-a-local-area-that-includes-a-confidence-interval-a-case-study-of-whatcom-county-washington\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[21],"class_list":["post-6656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-transmission"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6656","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6656"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6656\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6657,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6656\/revisions\/6657"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6656"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6656"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6656"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6656"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}