{"id":6695,"date":"2020-05-07T15:43:59","date_gmt":"2020-05-07T22:43:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6695"},"modified":"2021-03-16T15:44:44","modified_gmt":"2021-03-16T22:44:44","slug":"geospatially-referenced-demographic-agent-based-modeling-of-sars-cov-2-infection-covid-19-dynamics-and-mitigation-effects-in-a-real-world-community","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/07\/geospatially-referenced-demographic-agent-based-modeling-of-sars-cov-2-infection-covid-19-dynamics-and-mitigation-effects-in-a-real-world-community\/","title":{"rendered":"Geospatially Referenced Demographic Agent-Based Modeling of SARS-CoV-2-Infection (COVID-19) Dynamics and Mitigation Effects in a Real-World Community"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"36\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Adler et al. address limitations of c<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">ompartmental deterministic models<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">, including their\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">limited\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">ability\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">make predictions for specific locations, points in time, or demographic groups, and to capture chance (\u201cstochastic\u201d)\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">events<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">, which is needed to estimate the probability of<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">a second wave<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0of transmission<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"36\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">The GERDA-1 model<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0is a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">stochastic,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">geospatially-referenced<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0and demography-specific agent-based model<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">can predict infection dynamics for specific subpopulations under a variety of scenarios<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0(e.g., a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">mong health care workers with versus without adequate PPE access<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Adler et al. (May 6, 2020). Geospatially Referenced Demographic Agent-Based Modeling of SARS-CoV-2-Infection (COVID-19) Dynamics and Mitigation Effects in a Real-World Community.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Medrxiv<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.03.20089235\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.03.20089235<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Adler et al. address limitations of compartmental deterministic models, including their\u00a0limited\u00a0ability\u00a0make predictions for specific locations, points in time, or demographic groups, and to capture chance (\u201cstochastic\u201d)\u00a0events, which is needed to estimate the probability of\u00a0a second wave\u00a0of transmission.\u00a0 The GERDA-1 model\u00a0is a\u00a0stochastic,\u00a0geospatially-referenced\u00a0and demography-specific agent-based model\u00a0that\u00a0can predict infection dynamics for specific subpopulations under a variety of scenarios\u00a0(e.g.,&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/07\/geospatially-referenced-demographic-agent-based-modeling-of-sars-cov-2-infection-covid-19-dynamics-and-mitigation-effects-in-a-real-world-community\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-6695","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6695"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6695\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6696,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6695\/revisions\/6696"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6695"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}