{"id":6723,"date":"2020-05-08T15:59:12","date_gmt":"2020-05-08T22:59:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6723"},"modified":"2021-03-16T16:00:00","modified_gmt":"2021-03-16T23:00:00","slug":"estimating-the-infection-fatality-rate-among-symptomatic-covid-19-cases-in-the-united-states","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/08\/estimating-the-infection-fatality-rate-among-symptomatic-covid-19-cases-in-the-united-states\/","title":{"rendered":"Estimating\u00a0The\u00a0Infection Fatality Rate Among Symptomatic COVID-19 Cases In The United States"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Basu<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0et a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">l. fit a statistical model to<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0COVID-19 case fatality rates over time in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">116 US counties<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and estimated the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ymptomatic\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">i<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">nfection\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">f<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">atality\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">r<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ate among symptomatic cases (IFR-S) to be 1.3% (95% CI 0.6-2.1%)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. E<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">stimates by county varied<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0from<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a00.5% to 3.6% (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">estimated\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">IFR-S for seasonal flu is 0.1%).<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The author acknowledge<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the cons<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ervative nature of the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">estimate and that the overall IFR would be lower, since cases that recover without symptoms are not accounted for in their model.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Basu<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">. (May 7, 2020). Estimating\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">The<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0Infection Fatality Rate Among Symptomatic COVID-19 Cases In The United States. Health Affairs (Project Hope).\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1377\/hlthaff.2020.00455\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1377\/hlthaff.2020.00455<\/span><\/a><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Basu\u00a0et al. fit a statistical model to\u00a0COVID-19 case fatality rates over time in\u00a0116 US counties\u00a0and estimated the\u00a0symptomatic\u00a0infection\u00a0fatality\u00a0rate among symptomatic cases (IFR-S) to be 1.3% (95% CI 0.6-2.1%). Estimates by county varied\u00a0from\u00a00.5% to 3.6% (estimated\u00a0IFR-S for seasonal flu is 0.1%).\u00a0 The author acknowledges\u00a0the conservative nature of the\u00a0estimate and that the overall IFR would be lower, since&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/08\/estimating-the-infection-fatality-rate-among-symptomatic-covid-19-cases-in-the-united-states\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-6723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6723","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6723"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6723\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6724,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6723\/revisions\/6724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6723"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6723"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6723"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6723"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}