{"id":6757,"date":"2020-05-11T16:30:46","date_gmt":"2020-05-11T23:30:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6757"},"modified":"2021-03-17T16:31:37","modified_gmt":"2021-03-17T23:31:37","slug":"how-many-covid-19-cases-could-have-been-prevented-in-the-us-if-its-interventions-were-as-effective-as-those-in-china-and-south-korea","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/11\/how-many-covid-19-cases-could-have-been-prevented-in-the-us-if-its-interventions-were-as-effective-as-those-in-china-and-south-korea\/","title":{"rendered":"How many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the US if its interventions were as effective as those in China and South Korea?"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Liu et al<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0modeled how many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the US\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">if the US had implemented comprehensive and strict lockdown measures like in Wuhan, China<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0or\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">widespread testing as in<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">South Korea.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Researchers estimate<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">that<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0if\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">these measure were implemented<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0at the early stage of the outbreak (March 10), 99% (1.15 million) fewer cases could\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">have been\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">expected by the end of the epidemic. If actions were taken on April 1, this number could\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">have\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">decrease<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">d<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to 66%<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0(with the China-like scenario)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and 73%\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(with South Korea-like scenario)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">highlight<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ing<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the importance of early interventions and the need for swift response<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Liu et al. (May 11, 2020). How many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the US if its interventions were as effective as those in China and South Korea? Pre-print downloaded May 11 from\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.06.20092981\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.06.20092981<\/span><\/a><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Liu et al.\u00a0modeled how many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the US\u00a0if the US had implemented comprehensive and strict lockdown measures like in Wuhan, China\u00a0or\u00a0widespread testing as in\u00a0South Korea.\u00a0\u00a0 Researchers estimate\u00a0that\u00a0if\u00a0these measure were implemented\u00a0at the early stage of the outbreak (March 10), 99% (1.15 million) fewer cases could\u00a0have been\u00a0expected by the end of&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/11\/how-many-covid-19-cases-could-have-been-prevented-in-the-us-if-its-interventions-were-as-effective-as-those-in-china-and-south-korea\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[21],"class_list":["post-6757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-transmission"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6757"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6757\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6758,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6757\/revisions\/6758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6757"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}