{"id":6776,"date":"2020-05-12T16:43:23","date_gmt":"2020-05-12T23:43:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6776"},"modified":"2021-03-17T16:44:14","modified_gmt":"2021-03-17T23:44:14","slug":"evaluating-the-effectiveness-of-social-distancing-interventions-to-delay-or-flatten-the-epidemic-curve-of-coronavirus-disease","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/12\/evaluating-the-effectiveness-of-social-distancing-interventions-to-delay-or-flatten-the-epidemic-curve-of-coronavirus-disease\/","title":{"rendered":"Evaluating the Effectiveness of Social Distancing Interventions to Delay or Flatten the Epidemic Curve of Coronavirus Disease"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"42\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Using an age-stratified model\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">calibrated to Seattle, Washington\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">in which social distancing interventions reduced contacts for 6 weeks, interventions started earlier in the epidemic were found to delay the epidemic curve, while interventions started later flatten<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ed<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the epidemic curve. Even with only modest reductions in contacts among adults (20-59 years), interventions averted 20% of new cases, and most hospitalizations and deaths.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">However<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">modeled\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">epidemic rebounded when interventions ended, suggesting that social distancing interventions must be implemented in conjunction with testing and contact tracing.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Matrajt<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0and Leung. (Apr 28, 2020). Evaluating the Effectiveness of Social Distancing Interventions to Delay or Flatten the Epidemic Curve of Coronavirus Disease. Emerging Infectious Diseases.<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3201\/eid2608.201093<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Using an age-stratified model\u00a0calibrated to Seattle, Washington\u00a0in which social distancing interventions reduced contacts for 6 weeks, interventions started earlier in the epidemic were found to delay the epidemic curve, while interventions started later flattened\u00a0the epidemic curve. Even with only modest reductions in contacts among adults (20-59 years), interventions averted 20% of new cases, and most&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/12\/evaluating-the-effectiveness-of-social-distancing-interventions-to-delay-or-flatten-the-epidemic-curve-of-coronavirus-disease\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[22],"class_list":["post-6776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-non-pharmaceutical-interventions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6776"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6776\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6777,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6776\/revisions\/6777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6776"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}