{"id":6873,"date":"2020-05-15T17:37:41","date_gmt":"2020-05-16T00:37:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6873"},"modified":"2021-03-17T17:38:33","modified_gmt":"2021-03-18T00:38:33","slug":"preliminary-estimate-of-excess-mortality-during-the-covid-19-outbreak-new-york-city-march-11-may-2-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/15\/preliminary-estimate-of-excess-mortality-during-the-covid-19-outbreak-new-york-city-march-11-may-2-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Preliminary Estimate of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Outbreak &#8211; New York City, March 11-May 2, 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"36\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Applying a seasonal periodic model (as used for monitoring seasonal influenza) to estimate expected deaths,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Olson et al.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0found that 24,172 out of\u00a032,107\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">75%<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">deaths in New York<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0City from March 11-May 2, 2020<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0were in excess\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">of what would have been expected<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Of these<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a024,172 deaths,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">13,831<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">57%<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0were laboratory-confirmed COVID-19-<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">associated<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and 5,048\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(21%)\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">were\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">probable<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0COVID-associated<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. The remaining<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a05,923\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(22%)\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">excess deaths may be directly or indirectly attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Olson et al. (May 15, 2020). Preliminary Estimate of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Outbreak &#8211; New York City, March 11-May 2, 2020. MMWR.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15585\/mmwr.mm6919e5\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15585\/mmwr.mm6919e5<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Applying a seasonal periodic model (as used for monitoring seasonal influenza) to estimate expected deaths,\u00a0Olson et al.\u00a0found that 24,172 out of\u00a032,107\u00a0\u00a0(75%)\u00a0deaths in New York\u00a0City from March 11-May 2, 2020\u00a0were in excess\u00a0of what would have been expected. Of these\u00a024,172 deaths,\u00a013,831\u00a0(57%)\u00a0were laboratory-confirmed COVID-19-associated\u00a0and 5,048\u00a0(21%)\u00a0were\u00a0probable\u00a0COVID-associated. The remaining\u00a05,923\u00a0(22%)\u00a0excess deaths may be directly or indirectly attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic.\u00a0&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/15\/preliminary-estimate-of-excess-mortality-during-the-covid-19-outbreak-new-york-city-march-11-may-2-2020\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[16],"class_list":["post-6873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-public-health-policy-and-practice"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6873","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6873"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6873\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6874,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6873\/revisions\/6874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6873"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}