{"id":6924,"date":"2020-05-18T12:43:52","date_gmt":"2020-05-18T19:43:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6924"},"modified":"2021-03-18T12:44:42","modified_gmt":"2021-03-18T19:44:42","slug":"relaxing-lockdown-measures-in-epidemic-outbreaks-using-selective-socio-economic-containment-with-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/18\/relaxing-lockdown-measures-in-epidemic-outbreaks-using-selective-socio-economic-containment-with-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"Relaxing Lockdown Measures in Epidemic Outbreaks Using Selective Socio-Economic Containment with Uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"37\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Albi et al. used an\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">SIR-type compartmental model with a social structure modified\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">with\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">appropriate feedback controls\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to assess the impact of a selective relaxation of the containment measures in relation to the resumption of SARS-CoV<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211;<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">2 spread.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"37\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Th<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is model<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">generates\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">simulations\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">that\u00a0are i<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">n agreement\u00a0with the current epidemic scenarios\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">countries including Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and the United States.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The inclusion of uncertainty about the actual value of the number of infected people makes it possible to analyze the effects of the potential reopening of productive and social activities at different times.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"37\" data-aria-posinset=\"3\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The model suggests that countries such as the US that are<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0still in an epidemic situation\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">should\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">maintain lockdown measures before moving to a second phase<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0while countries such as German could\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">gradual<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ly<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0reopen social and economic activities<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0while maintaining<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0epidemic control<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Albi et al. (May 16, 2020). Relaxing Lockdown Measures in Epidemic Outbreaks Using Selective Socio-Economic Containment with Uncertainty. Pre-print\u00a0downloaded May 18 from<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.12.20099721\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.12.20099721<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Albi et al. used an\u00a0SIR-type compartmental model with a social structure modified\u00a0with\u00a0appropriate feedback controls\u00a0to assess the impact of a selective relaxation of the containment measures in relation to the resumption of SARS-CoV&#8211;2 spread.\u00a0\u00a0 This model\u00a0generates\u00a0simulations\u00a0that\u00a0are in agreement\u00a0with the current epidemic scenarios\u00a0in\u00a0countries including Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and the United States.\u00a0The inclusion of&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/18\/relaxing-lockdown-measures-in-epidemic-outbreaks-using-selective-socio-economic-containment-with-uncertainty\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-6924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6924","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6924"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6924\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6925,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6924\/revisions\/6925"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6924"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}