{"id":6928,"date":"2020-05-18T12:45:43","date_gmt":"2020-05-18T19:45:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=6928"},"modified":"2021-03-18T12:46:30","modified_gmt":"2021-03-18T19:46:30","slug":"strategic-release-of-lockdowns-in-a-covid-infection-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/18\/strategic-release-of-lockdowns-in-a-covid-infection-model\/","title":{"rendered":"Strategic Release of Lockdowns in a COVID Infection Model"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"37\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Zhang implemented\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">SIR models<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to determine the earliest time of a multi-phased release of the population from lockdown restrictions<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0for two states, Illinois and New York<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, constrained by a specified threshold on the subsequent peaks of infection.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"37\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">If the population\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">under<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">lockdown is to be released in equal sized batches, then it is prudent to wait for a substantial decrease in \u201cactive infections<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u201d<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0I<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">f the population\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">under<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">lockdown is to be released at a steady rate, then that release rate should be quite low. An adaptive gradual release policy with\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">variable rate results in maintaining reduction in active infected cases and provides a relatively fast release of the population from lockdown.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Zhang. (May 15,\u00a02020).\u00a0Strategic Release of Lockdowns in a COVID Infection Model. Pre-print\u00a0downloaded May 18 from\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.10.20096446\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.10.20096446<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zhang implemented\u00a0SIR models\u00a0to determine the earliest time of a multi-phased release of the population from lockdown restrictions\u00a0for two states, Illinois and New York, constrained by a specified threshold on the subsequent peaks of infection.\u00a0\u00a0 If the population\u00a0under\u00a0lockdown is to be released in equal sized batches, then it is prudent to wait for a substantial decrease&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/18\/strategic-release-of-lockdowns-in-a-covid-infection-model\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-6928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6928","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6928"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6928\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6929,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6928\/revisions\/6929"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6928"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6928"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6928"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=6928"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}