{"id":7047,"date":"2020-05-21T16:17:14","date_gmt":"2020-05-21T23:17:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=7047"},"modified":"2021-03-19T16:18:00","modified_gmt":"2021-03-19T23:18:00","slug":"modeling-the-effects-of-intervention-strategies-on-covid-19-transmission-dynamics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/21\/modeling-the-effects-of-intervention-strategies-on-covid-19-transmission-dynamics\/","title":{"rendered":"Modeling the Effects of Intervention Strategies on COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Compared<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to continuous and intermittent social distancing, Kennedy et al. found that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201cstepping-down\u201d strategy was the best long-term strategy to minimize the peak number of active COVID-19 cases and associated deaths.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The stepping down strategy modeled cycles of restriction and loosening of social distancing behaviors.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A stepping-down strategy also reduced the total required social distancing time by 6.5% compared to the other strategies. An 80-day pe<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">riod of social distancing<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0was more effective than a 40-day\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">period<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. However, these results\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">depend<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0on 50% of people engaging in personal protection measures (e.g., wearing a facemask, proper hand hygiene).<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Kennedy et al. (May 10, 2020). Modeling the Effects of Intervention Strategies on COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics. Journal of Clinical Virology.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jcv.2020.104440\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jcv.2020.104440<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Compared\u00a0to continuous and intermittent social distancing, Kennedy et al. found that\u00a0a\u00a0\u201cstepping-down\u201d strategy was the best long-term strategy to minimize the peak number of active COVID-19 cases and associated deaths.\u00a0The stepping down strategy modeled cycles of restriction and loosening of social distancing behaviors.\u00a0A stepping-down strategy also reduced the total required social distancing time by 6.5% compared&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/21\/modeling-the-effects-of-intervention-strategies-on-covid-19-transmission-dynamics\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-7047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7047"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7047\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7048,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7047\/revisions\/7048"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7047"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=7047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}