{"id":7231,"date":"2020-05-29T12:19:20","date_gmt":"2020-05-29T19:19:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=7231"},"modified":"2021-03-24T12:20:05","modified_gmt":"2021-03-24T19:20:05","slug":"causal-impact-of-masks-policies-behavior-on-early-covid-19-pandemic-in-the-u-s","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/29\/causal-impact-of-masks-policies-behavior-on-early-covid-19-pandemic-in-the-u-s\/","title":{"rendered":"Causal Impact of Masks Policies Behavior on Early Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S."},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">[pre-print, not peer reviewed]<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Chernozhukov\u00a0et al<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. constructed counterfactual causal models to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">evaluat<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">e\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the dynamic impact of various policies\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">on\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">behavioral responses relevant to COVID-19 control. They concluded that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">these\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">policies\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(e.g.,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">school, bu<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">siness, and restaurant closures<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">explain<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0a large fraction of observed changes in social distancing behavior.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">They estimate that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">if all\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">policies\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">had been removed\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">on April\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">1<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, it\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">would have led to an additional 30<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211;<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">200<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">-fold<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0more cases\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">that<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0nationally mandating face masks would have led to 30%-57% fewer reported cases by late May<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Chernozhukov\u00a0et al. (May 29, 2020). Causal Impact of Masks Policies Behavior on Early Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Preprint downloaded May 29 from<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.27.20115139\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.05.27.20115139<\/span><\/a><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[pre-print, not peer reviewed]\u00a0Chernozhukov\u00a0et al. constructed counterfactual causal models to\u00a0evaluate\u00a0the dynamic impact of various policies\u00a0on\u00a0behavioral responses relevant to COVID-19 control. They concluded that\u00a0these\u00a0policies\u00a0(e.g.,\u00a0school, business, and restaurant closures)\u00a0explain\u00a0a large fraction of observed changes in social distancing behavior.\u00a0They estimate that\u00a0if all\u00a0policies\u00a0had been removed\u00a0on April\u00a01, it\u00a0would have led to an additional 30&#8211;\u00a0to\u00a0200-fold\u00a0more cases\u00a0and\u00a0that\u00a0nationally mandating face masks would have&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/05\/29\/causal-impact-of-masks-policies-behavior-on-early-covid-19-pandemic-in-the-u-s\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-7231","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7231","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7231"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7231\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7232,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7231\/revisions\/7232"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7231"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7231"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7231"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=7231"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}