{"id":7443,"date":"2020-06-09T14:00:29","date_gmt":"2020-06-09T21:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=7443"},"modified":"2021-03-25T14:01:17","modified_gmt":"2021-03-25T21:01:17","slug":"estimating-the-effects-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-on-covid-19-in-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/09\/estimating-the-effects-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-on-covid-19-in-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"Estimating the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID-19 in Europe"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Flaxman et al. studied the impact of major non-pharmacological interventions across 11 European countries and estimated that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">recen<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">t<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0interventions have been sufficient to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">achieve epidemic control and\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">drive the reproduction number\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">t<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0from an initial average of 3.8 across all 11 countries to an average of 0.66. Lockdown measures\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">had a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">large impact on transmission<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">with an estimated\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">81% reduction<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">They estimate that<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0between 12 and 15 million individuals\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">in the 11 countries\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">(3% &#8211; 4% of the population) were<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0infected with SARS-CoV-2\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">by<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u202fMay<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a04th<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">2020<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Flaxman et al. (June 8, 2020). Estimating the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41586-020-2405-7\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41586-020-2405-7<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Flaxman et al. studied the impact of major non-pharmacological interventions across 11 European countries and estimated that\u00a0recent\u00a0interventions have been sufficient to\u00a0achieve epidemic control and\u00a0drive the reproduction number\u00a0(Rt)\u00a0from an initial average of 3.8 across all 11 countries to an average of 0.66. Lockdown measures\u00a0had a\u00a0large impact on transmission\u00a0with an estimated\u00a081% reduction.\u00a0\u00a0 They estimate that\u00a0between 12 and&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/09\/estimating-the-effects-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-on-covid-19-in-europe\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[22],"class_list":["post-7443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-non-pharmaceutical-interventions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7443","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7443"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7443\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7444,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7443\/revisions\/7444"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7443"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7443"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7443"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=7443"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}