{"id":7459,"date":"2020-06-09T14:07:35","date_gmt":"2020-06-09T21:07:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=7459"},"modified":"2021-03-25T14:08:19","modified_gmt":"2021-03-25T21:08:19","slug":"harnessing-multiple-models-for-outbreak-management","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/09\/harnessing-multiple-models-for-outbreak-management\/","title":{"rendered":"Harnessing Multiple Models for Outbreak Management"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Given the disparity in predictions of various models pertaining to COVID-19 disease trajectories and intervention assessments, Shea et al. propose a systematic approach that employs expert elicitation methods and a decision-theoretic framework to minimize bias and account for within- and between- model uncertainty.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Shea et al. (May 8, 2020). Harnessing Multiple Models for Outbreak Management. Science.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.abb9934\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.abb9934<\/span><\/a><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Given the disparity in predictions of various models pertaining to COVID-19 disease trajectories and intervention assessments, Shea et al. propose a systematic approach that employs expert elicitation methods and a decision-theoretic framework to minimize bias and account for within- and between- model uncertainty.\u00a0\u00a0 Shea et al. (May 8, 2020). Harnessing Multiple Models for Outbreak Management&#8230;.<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/09\/harnessing-multiple-models-for-outbreak-management\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-7459","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7459","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7459"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7459\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7460,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7459\/revisions\/7460"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7459"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7459"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7459"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=7459"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}