{"id":7530,"date":"2020-06-15T14:52:23","date_gmt":"2020-06-15T21:52:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=7530"},"modified":"2021-03-25T14:53:08","modified_gmt":"2021-03-25T21:53:08","slug":"effect-of-social-distancing-on-covid-19-incidence-and-mortality-in-the-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/15\/effect-of-social-distancing-on-covid-19-incidence-and-mortality-in-the-us\/","title":{"rendered":"Effect of Social Distancing on COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality in the US"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">[pre-print, not peer reviewed]<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Vo<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Pham\u00a0et al.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">used nationwide smartphone GPS data for 3,054 counties (94%) in all 50 states and Washington, DC, to estimate county-level social distancing based on\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">1) change in average distance traveled (per device),\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">2) change in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">non-essential venue visitation (e.g., hair salons), and\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">3) the probability that two users were in\u00a0clos<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">e\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">proximity<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">S<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">tay-at-home orders were associated with a 35% increase in social distancing\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">score\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(p&lt;0.001). Higher social distanc<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ing score was associated with\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">29% reduction in COVID-19 incidence (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">IRR<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">=<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0.71, 95%CI 0.57<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0.87) and a 35% reduction in COVID-19 mortality (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">IRR=<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0.65,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">95%CI\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0.55<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0.76).\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">VoPham\u00a0et al. (June 12, 2020). Effect of Social Distancing on COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality in the US. Pre-print\u00a0downloaded June 15 from\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.06.10.20127589\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.06.10.20127589<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[pre-print, not peer reviewed]\u00a0VoPham\u00a0et al.\u00a0used nationwide smartphone GPS data for 3,054 counties (94%) in all 50 states and Washington, DC, to estimate county-level social distancing based on\u00a0(1) change in average distance traveled (per device),\u00a0(2) change in\u00a0non-essential venue visitation (e.g., hair salons), and\u00a0(3) the probability that two users were in\u00a0close\u00a0proximity.\u00a0 Stay-at-home orders were associated with a&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/15\/effect-of-social-distancing-on-covid-19-incidence-and-mortality-in-the-us\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[22],"class_list":["post-7530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-non-pharmaceutical-interventions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7530"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7530\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7531,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7530\/revisions\/7531"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7530"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=7530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}