{"id":7790,"date":"2020-06-24T12:51:33","date_gmt":"2020-06-24T19:51:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=7790"},"modified":"2021-03-26T12:52:19","modified_gmt":"2021-03-26T19:52:19","slug":"covid-19-lockdown-if-when-and-how","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/24\/covid-19-lockdown-if-when-and-how\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19 Lockdown: If, When, and How"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">[pre-print, not peer reviewed]<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Moyorga<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0et al. evaluated the impact of different timings and lengths of lockdown periods under scenarios<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0using different values of R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, the basic reproductive number for SARS-CoV-2<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. They found that the timing for the lockdown has\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a large effect on\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ICU usage and fatalities. As R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0increases,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">an\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">earlier lockdown<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">needed<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to control the outbreak<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, while in lower R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0scenarios later lockdowns\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">are still\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">effective.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A l<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ockdown<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&lt;15 days long had a negligible effect in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">reducing the impact of SARS-CoV-2 on\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">healthcare system. However, lockdowns &gt;45 days had diminishing returns on their effect of reducing ICU usage and fatalities.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Mayorga<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0et al. (June 23, 2020). COVID-19 Lockdown: If, When, and How.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Pre-print downloaded June 24 from<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.06.20.20136325\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.06.20.20136325<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[pre-print, not peer reviewed]\u00a0Moyorga\u00a0et al. evaluated the impact of different timings and lengths of lockdown periods under scenarios\u00a0using different values of R0, the basic reproductive number for SARS-CoV-2. They found that the timing for the lockdown has\u00a0a large effect on\u00a0ICU usage and fatalities. As R0\u00a0increases,\u00a0an\u00a0earlier lockdown\u00a0is\u00a0needed\u00a0to control the outbreak, while in lower R0\u00a0scenarios later lockdowns\u00a0are&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/24\/covid-19-lockdown-if-when-and-how\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-7790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7790","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7790"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7790\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7791,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7790\/revisions\/7791"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7790"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=7790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}