{"id":7859,"date":"2020-06-29T17:38:09","date_gmt":"2020-06-30T00:38:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=7859"},"modified":"2021-03-29T17:38:52","modified_gmt":"2021-03-30T00:38:52","slug":"how-and-when-to-end-the-covid-19-lockdown-an-optimization-approach","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/29\/how-and-when-to-end-the-covid-19-lockdown-an-optimization-approach\/","title":{"rendered":"How and When to End the COVID-19 Lockdown: An Optimization Approach"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"43\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Rawson et al. applied an optimal control framework to an adapted SEIR model framework to evaluate the efficacy of lockdown release strategies<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in the UK<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. They found simultaneous release of the entire population to be a high-risk strategy, with gradual re-integration preferred.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Among gradual re-integration strategies,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">releasing approximately half the population 2-4 weeks\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">after the end of the initial peak, then waiting 3-4 months to allow for a second peak before releasing the second half of the population<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">was found to be superior to a \u201con-off\u201d strategy, whereby lockdown is ended for the entire population, then re-established if infections become too high.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Rawson et al. (2020). How and When to End the COVID-19 Lockdown: An Optimization Approach. Frontiers in Public Health.<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3389\/fpubh.2020.00262\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3389\/fpubh.2020.00262<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rawson et al. applied an optimal control framework to an adapted SEIR model framework to evaluate the efficacy of lockdown release strategies\u00a0in the UK. They found simultaneous release of the entire population to be a high-risk strategy, with gradual re-integration preferred.\u00a0Among gradual re-integration strategies,\u00a0releasing approximately half the population 2-4 weeks\u00a0after the end of the initial&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/06\/29\/how-and-when-to-end-the-covid-19-lockdown-an-optimization-approach\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-7859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7859","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7859"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7859\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7860,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7859\/revisions\/7860"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7859"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7859"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7859"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=7859"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}