{"id":7936,"date":"2020-07-02T20:07:28","date_gmt":"2020-07-03T03:07:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=7936"},"modified":"2021-03-29T20:08:09","modified_gmt":"2021-03-30T03:08:09","slug":"the-impact-of-contact-tracing-and-household-bubbles-on-deconfinement-strategies-for-covid-19-an-individual-based-modelling-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/07\/02\/the-impact-of-contact-tracing-and-household-bubbles-on-deconfinement-strategies-for-covid-19-an-individual-based-modelling-study\/","title":{"rendered":"The Impact of Contact Tracing and Household Bubbles on Deconfinement Strategies for COVID-19 an Individual-Based Modelling Study"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">[pre-print, not peer reviewed]<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Willem et al.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">adapted an individual-based model<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">account<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0for repetitive leisure contacts in extended household settings (so called &#8220;household bubbles&#8221;) to simulate interactions between the 11 million inha<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">bitants of Belgium at the level<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of households, workplaces, schools and communities.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">They found that household bubbles have the potential to reduce the number of COVID-19 hospital admissions by up to 90%. The effectiveness of contact tracing depends on its timing, as it becomes futile more than 4 day<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">s after the index case develops<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0symptoms. Assuming<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">children (&lt;18 years of age)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to be half as susceptible as adults, (partial) school closure options have relatively little impact on COVID-19 burden.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Willem et al. (July 2, 2020). The Impact of Contact Tracing and Household Bubbles on Deconfinement Strategies for COVID-19 an Individual-Based Modelling Study.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Pre-print downloaded July 2 from<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.07.01.20144444\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.07.01.20144444<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[pre-print, not peer reviewed]\u00a0Willem et al.\u00a0adapted an individual-based model\u00a0that\u00a0accounts\u00a0for repetitive leisure contacts in extended household settings (so called &#8220;household bubbles&#8221;) to simulate interactions between the 11 million inhabitants of Belgium at the level\u00a0of households, workplaces, schools and communities.\u00a0\u00a0 They found that household bubbles have the potential to reduce the number of COVID-19 hospital admissions by&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/07\/02\/the-impact-of-contact-tracing-and-household-bubbles-on-deconfinement-strategies-for-covid-19-an-individual-based-modelling-study\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-7936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7936","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7936"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7936\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7937,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7936\/revisions\/7937"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7936"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7936"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7936"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=7936"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}