{"id":8051,"date":"2020-07-08T08:46:18","date_gmt":"2020-07-08T15:46:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=8051"},"modified":"2021-03-31T08:47:03","modified_gmt":"2021-03-31T15:47:03","slug":"the-implications-of-silent-transmission-for-the-control-of-covid-19-outbreaks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/07\/08\/the-implications-of-silent-transmission-for-the-control-of-covid-19-outbreaks\/","title":{"rendered":"The Implications of Silent Transmission for the Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Moghadas\u00a0et al. used\u00a0agentbased\u00a0modeling to quantify the number of transmission<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0attributable to asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic SARS-CoV-3 infections. Empirical studies suggest that the proportion of asymptomatic cases range from 1<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">8<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to 3<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">1<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">%. At the lower end, when 1<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">8<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">% of infections are asymptomatic, they estimated that pre-symptomatic<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0cases account for 48% of transmissions<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and asymptomatic infections account for 3% of transmissions. These estimates change slightly if 3<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">1<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">% of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">infections are asymptomatic: pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic infections accounted for 47%\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">7<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">% of transmissions, respectively. These finding suggest that isolation of all symptomatic cases is not sufficient to achieve epidemic control.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Moghadas\u00a0et al. (July 2020). The Implications of Silent Transmission for the Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">PNAS<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.2008373117\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.2008373117<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Moghadas\u00a0et al. used\u00a0agentbased\u00a0modeling to quantify the number of transmissions\u00a0attributable to asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic SARS-CoV-3 infections. Empirical studies suggest that the proportion of asymptomatic cases range from 18\u00a0to 31%. At the lower end, when 18% of infections are asymptomatic, they estimated that pre-symptomatic\u00a0cases account for 48% of transmissions\u00a0and asymptomatic infections account for 3% of transmissions. These&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/07\/08\/the-implications-of-silent-transmission-for-the-control-of-covid-19-outbreaks\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-8051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8051","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8051"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8051\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8052,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8051\/revisions\/8052"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8051"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8051"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8051"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=8051"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}