{"id":8301,"date":"2021-04-01T14:57:00","date_gmt":"2021-04-01T21:57:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=8301"},"modified":"2021-04-02T14:57:52","modified_gmt":"2021-04-02T21:57:52","slug":"simulation-based-estimation-of-sars-cov-2-infections-associated-with-school-closures-and-community-based-nonpharmaceutical-interventions-in-ontario-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/04\/01\/simulation-based-estimation-of-sars-cov-2-infections-associated-with-school-closures-and-community-based-nonpharmaceutical-interventions-in-ontario-canada\/","title":{"rendered":"Simulation-Based Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 Infections Associated With School Closures and Community-Based Nonpharmaceutical Interventions in Ontario, Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">An agent-based transmission model calibrated to the population and COVID-19 case numbers observed in Ontario, Canada suggests that changes in case numbers associated with school reopenings were relatively small compared with the changes associated with non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). Among 1 million simulated individuals from September to October 2020, incident COVID-19 cases without community-based NPIs were 4,414 when schools remained closed, and 4,740 when they reopened. In contrast, 714 and 780 incident COVID-19 cases with community-based NPIs were expected when schools remained closed and reopened, respectively.\u00a0 Across all modeled scenarios, school-acquired infections were &lt;5% of total infections. A mean difference of 39,355 cumulative cases was observed between community-based NPI vs no community-based NPI scenarios compared to a mean difference of only 2,040 cases between school closing vs reopening scenarios.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Naimark et al.\u00a0(Mar 31, 2021). Simulation-Based Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 Infections Associated With School Closures and Community-Based Nonpharmaceutical Interventions in Ontario, Canada. JAMA Network Open. <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2021.3793\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2021.3793<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An agent-based transmission model calibrated to the population and COVID-19 case numbers observed in Ontario, Canada suggests that changes in case numbers associated with school reopenings were relatively small compared with the changes associated with non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). Among 1 million simulated individuals from September to October 2020, incident COVID-19 cases without community-based NPIs were&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/04\/01\/simulation-based-estimation-of-sars-cov-2-infections-associated-with-school-closures-and-community-based-nonpharmaceutical-interventions-in-ontario-canada\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[208,35],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-8301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","tag-modeling-predictive","tag-schools","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8301"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8301\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8302,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8301\/revisions\/8302"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8301"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=8301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}