{"id":8451,"date":"2020-07-23T16:44:56","date_gmt":"2020-07-23T23:44:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=8451"},"modified":"2021-04-02T16:45:38","modified_gmt":"2021-04-02T23:45:38","slug":"the-effect-of-border-controls-on-the-risk-of-covid-19-reincursion-from-international-arrivals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/07\/23\/the-effect-of-border-controls-on-the-risk-of-covid-19-reincursion-from-international-arrivals\/","title":{"rendered":"The Effect of Border Controls on the Risk of COVID-19\u00a0Reincursion\u00a0from International Arrivals"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">[Preprint, not peer reviewed]\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Steyn et al.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">predicted the risk of undetected COVID-19 cases within managed isolation and quarantine facilities and the risk of infectious cases being released into the community using data during a two-week period\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">June<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a023 to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">July<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a06<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, 2020<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">in New Zealand.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Under the current 14-day quarantine\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">order<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, a combination\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">testing on\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">day<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a03 and 12, daily symptom checks, and complete isolation of confirmed cases would reduce the risk of releasing an infectious case to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">an estimated\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0.1% per arriving case. Shorter quarantine periods or reliance on testing only with no quarantine substantially increased the predicted risk. The ratio of cases detected on day 3\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">versus\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">day 12 could be an effective indicator of the level of transmission.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Steyn et al. (July 22, 2020). The Effect of Border Controls on the Risk of COVID-19\u00a0Reincursion\u00a0from International Arrivals. Pre-print\u00a0downloaded July 23 from\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.07.15.20154955\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.07.15.20154955<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[Preprint, not peer reviewed]\u00a0Steyn et al.\u00a0predicted the risk of undetected COVID-19 cases within managed isolation and quarantine facilities and the risk of infectious cases being released into the community using data during a two-week period\u00a0(June\u00a023 to\u00a0July\u00a06, 2020)\u00a0in New Zealand.\u00a0\u00a0 Under the current 14-day quarantine\u00a0order, a combination\u00a0of\u00a0testing on\u00a0days\u00a03 and 12, daily symptom checks, and complete isolation&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/07\/23\/the-effect-of-border-controls-on-the-risk-of-covid-19-reincursion-from-international-arrivals\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-8451","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8451","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8451"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8451\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8452,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8451\/revisions\/8452"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8451"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8451"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8451"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=8451"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}