{"id":8535,"date":"2020-07-28T10:45:05","date_gmt":"2020-07-28T17:45:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=8535"},"modified":"2021-04-05T10:45:46","modified_gmt":"2021-04-05T17:45:46","slug":"using-social-contact-data-to-predict-and-compare-the-impact-of-social-distancing-policies-with-implications-for-school-re-opening","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/07\/28\/using-social-contact-data-to-predict-and-compare-the-impact-of-social-distancing-policies-with-implications-for-school-re-opening\/","title":{"rendered":"Using Social Contact Data to Predict and Compare the Impact of Social Distancing Policies with Implications for School Re-Opening"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"45\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">[pre-print, not peer-reviewed]<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Using UK social contact data collected in 2010<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and Google mobility report data pre- and post-lockdown, Brooks-Pollock\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">et al.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">estimated an age-adjusted R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0for COVID-19 and relative change in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">in scenarios\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">including\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">school closures, work closures, and contact tracing<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. They found<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">that<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a065% reduction in work contacts, a 75% reduction in leisure contacts, and a 95% reduction in school contacts reduces R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to 0.7 (95% CI 0.6, 0.8), versus 0.45 (95% CI 0.41, 0.50) when all non-household contacts were eliminated.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A scenario in which\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">all children are back at\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">elementary<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0school<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0resulted in an\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">remains below\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">1 only\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">if\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">non-household contacts\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">remain<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">l<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ow<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, or if a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">high proportion of contacts can be traced and self-isolate.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Brooks-Pollock et al. (July 27, 2020). Using Social Contact Data to Predict and Compare the Impact of Social Distancing Policies with Implications for School Re-Opening.<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0Preprint\u00a0downloaded on July 28 from<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.07.25.20156471\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.07.25.20156471<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[pre-print, not peer-reviewed]\u00a0Using UK social contact data collected in 2010\u00a0and Google mobility report data pre- and post-lockdown, Brooks-Pollock\u00a0et al.\u00a0estimated an age-adjusted R0\u00a0for COVID-19 and relative change in\u00a0R0\u00a0in scenarios\u00a0including\u00a0school closures, work closures, and contact tracing. They found\u00a0that\u00a0a\u00a065% reduction in work contacts, a 75% reduction in leisure contacts, and a 95% reduction in school contacts reduces R0\u00a0to&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/07\/28\/using-social-contact-data-to-predict-and-compare-the-impact-of-social-distancing-policies-with-implications-for-school-re-opening\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-8535","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8535","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8535"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8535\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8536,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8535\/revisions\/8536"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8535"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8535"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8535"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=8535"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}