{"id":8727,"date":"2020-08-04T11:09:47","date_gmt":"2020-08-04T18:09:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=8727"},"modified":"2021-04-06T11:10:29","modified_gmt":"2021-04-06T18:10:29","slug":"determining-the-optimal-strategy-for-reopening-schools-the-impact-of-test-and-trace-interventions-and-the-risk-of-occurrence-of-a-second-covid-19-epidemic-wave-in-the-uk-a-modelling-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/08\/04\/determining-the-optimal-strategy-for-reopening-schools-the-impact-of-test-and-trace-interventions-and-the-risk-of-occurrence-of-a-second-covid-19-epidemic-wave-in-the-uk-a-modelling-study\/","title":{"rendered":"Determining the Optimal Strategy for Reopening Schools, the Impact of Test and Trace Interventions, and the Risk of Occurrence of a Second COVID-19 Epidemic Wave in the UK: A Modelling Study"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"44\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Panovska<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">-Griffiths et al.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">appplied<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Covasim<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0model (developed by the Institute for Disease Modeling) to simulate six scenarios\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">for the UK\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">representing a combination of school reopening strategies and contact tracing and testing coverage. Under full re-opening of schools, if 68% of contacts could be traced, 75% of symptomatic individuals would need to be tested\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and positives isolated<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to prevent a second wave<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">I<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">f only 40% of contacts could be traced, 87%<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">would need to be tested<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">rotati<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">on<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0scenario where 50% of students attend school on alternate weeks,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">slightly fewer contacts would need to be traced<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"44\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The results were largely robust to changing\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the assumptions about\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">infectiousness of children and young adults.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Panovska<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">-Griffiths et al. (Aug 2020). Determining the Optimal Strategy for Reopening Schools, the Impact of Test and Trace Interventions, and the Risk of Occurrence of a Second COVID-19 Epidemic Wave in the UK: A Modelling Study. The Lancet Child &amp; Adolescent Health.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S2352-4642(20)30250-9\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S2352-4642(20)30250-9<\/span><\/a><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Panovska-Griffiths et al.\u00a0appplied\u00a0the\u00a0Covasim\u00a0model (developed by the Institute for Disease Modeling) to simulate six scenarios\u00a0for the UK\u00a0representing a combination of school reopening strategies and contact tracing and testing coverage. Under full re-opening of schools, if 68% of contacts could be traced, 75% of symptomatic individuals would need to be tested\u00a0(and positives isolated)\u00a0to prevent a second wave.\u00a0If&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/08\/04\/determining-the-optimal-strategy-for-reopening-schools-the-impact-of-test-and-trace-interventions-and-the-risk-of-occurrence-of-a-second-covid-19-epidemic-wave-in-the-uk-a-modelling-study\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-8727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8727"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8727\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8728,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8727\/revisions\/8728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8727"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=8727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}