{"id":8904,"date":"2021-04-09T11:47:23","date_gmt":"2021-04-09T18:47:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=8904"},"modified":"2021-04-12T11:48:15","modified_gmt":"2021-04-12T18:48:15","slug":"the-lockdown-effect-a-counterfactual-for-sweden","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/04\/09\/the-lockdown-effect-a-counterfactual-for-sweden\/","title":{"rendered":"The Lockdown Effect: A Counterfactual for Sweden"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">A modeling study simulated the potential effects of a stricter, government-imposed lockdown policy in Sweden, a country that did not impose such a lockdown in early 2020. The authors compared COVID-related deaths, SARS-CoV-2 infections, and change in national GDP in Sweden from March 15-May 17, 2020 to a weighted average of similar neighboring countries that did impose lockdowns. The model estimated that if Sweden had imposed a 9-week lockdown in March 2020, infections would have been reduced by 75% and deaths would have been reduced by 38% with only moderate decreases in national GDP. Notably, the authors reported that although social mobility in Sweden decreased substantially in the absence of government-imposed lockdown, the decrease was less than what would have been expected to have occurred in a mandated lockdown.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Born et al. (Apr 8, 2021). The Lockdown Effect: A Counterfactual for Sweden. PLOS ONE. <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0249732\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0249732<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A modeling study simulated the potential effects of a stricter, government-imposed lockdown policy in Sweden, a country that did not impose such a lockdown in early 2020. The authors compared COVID-related deaths, SARS-CoV-2 infections, and change in national GDP in Sweden from March 15-May 17, 2020 to a weighted average of similar neighboring countries that&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/04\/09\/the-lockdown-effect-a-counterfactual-for-sweden\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[37],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-8904","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","tag-non-pharm-interventions","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8904","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8904"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8904\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8905,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8904\/revisions\/8905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8904"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8904"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8904"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=8904"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}