{"id":9091,"date":"2020-08-17T11:54:17","date_gmt":"2020-08-17T18:54:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=9091"},"modified":"2021-04-13T11:54:54","modified_gmt":"2021-04-13T18:54:54","slug":"widespread-testing-case-isolation-and-contact-tracing-may-allow-safe-school-reopening-with-continued-moderate-physical-distancing-a-modeling-analysis-of-king-county-wa-data-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/08\/17\/widespread-testing-case-isolation-and-contact-tracing-may-allow-safe-school-reopening-with-continued-moderate-physical-distancing-a-modeling-analysis-of-king-county-wa-data-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Widespread Testing Case Isolation and Contact Tracing May Allow Safe School Reopening with Continued Moderate Physical Distancing a Modeling Analysis of King County WA Data"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">[<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Preprint<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">, not peer-reviewed]<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Modeling based on King County in Washington State<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">indicates that returning to a level of 75% of<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">pre-COVID<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">-19<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0physical interactions<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">between May 15-July 15 would result in 350 daily deaths by early September 2020. Maintaining less than 45%\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">pre-COVID<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">-19<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0physical interactions<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">was required to ensure low levels of daily infections and deaths. A combination of increased testing, isolation of symptomatic infections, and contact tracing permitted 60%\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">pre-COVID<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">-19<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0physical interactions<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and allowed opening of schools with &lt;15 daily deaths.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Bracis<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0et al. (Aug 16, 2020). Widespread Testing Case Isolation and Contact Tracing May Allow Safe School Reopening with Continued Moderate Physical Distancing a Modeling Analysis of King County WA Data. Pre-print downloaded Aug 17 from\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.08.14.20174649\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.08.14.20174649<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[Preprint, not peer-reviewed]\u00a0Modeling based on King County in Washington State\u00a0indicates that returning to a level of 75% of\u00a0pre-COVID-19\u00a0physical interactions\u00a0between May 15-July 15 would result in 350 daily deaths by early September 2020. Maintaining less than 45%\u00a0of\u00a0pre-COVID-19\u00a0physical interactions\u00a0was required to ensure low levels of daily infections and deaths. A combination of increased testing, isolation of symptomatic&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/08\/17\/widespread-testing-case-isolation-and-contact-tracing-may-allow-safe-school-reopening-with-continued-moderate-physical-distancing-a-modeling-analysis-of-king-county-wa-data-2\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-9091","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9091","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9091"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9091\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9092,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9091\/revisions\/9092"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9091"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9091"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9091"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=9091"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}