{"id":9097,"date":"2020-08-17T11:56:39","date_gmt":"2020-08-17T18:56:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=9097"},"modified":"2021-04-13T11:57:29","modified_gmt":"2021-04-13T18:57:29","slug":"the-common-interests-of-health-protection-and-the-economy-evidence-from-scenario-calculations-of-covid-19-containment-policies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/08\/17\/the-common-interests-of-health-protection-and-the-economy-evidence-from-scenario-calculations-of-covid-19-containment-policies\/","title":{"rendered":"The Common Interests of Health Protection and\u00a0The\u00a0Economy Evidence from Scenario Calculations Of COVID-19 Containment Policies"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"34\" data-aria-posinset=\"2019\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">[Preprint, not peer-reviewed]<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Germany introduced restrictive shutdown measures in March 2020. The\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">reproductive rate (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">t<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">fell below one in April 14. On April 20th, a gradual loosening of the restrictions was announced. With a lag of two weeks R<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">t<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0increased again at the beginning of May.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Based on these data during the initial shutdown phase,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Dorn et al. constructed a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">simulation model to project the number of additional COVID-19 deaths until July 31st, 2021 with different scenarios of further loosening or tightening the shutdown measures.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">T<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">hey report that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">gradual<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">opening<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">approach<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0is econ<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">omically optimal, whereas costs are higher for a more extensive opening process.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Dorn et al. (Aug 16, 2020). The Common Interests of Health Protection and\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">The<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Economy<\/span><\/i><i><span data-contrast=\"none\"> Evidence from Scenario Calculations Of COVID-19 Containment Policies. Pre-print downloaded Aug 17 from\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.08.14.20175224\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.08.14.20175224<\/span><\/a><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[Preprint, not peer-reviewed]\u00a0Germany introduced restrictive shutdown measures in March 2020. The\u00a0reproductive rate (Rt)\u00a0fell below one in April 14. On April 20th, a gradual loosening of the restrictions was announced. With a lag of two weeks Rt\u00a0increased again at the beginning of May.\u00a0Based on these data during the initial shutdown phase,\u00a0Dorn et al. constructed a\u00a0simulation model&#8230;<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2020\/08\/17\/the-common-interests-of-health-protection-and-the-economy-evidence-from-scenario-calculations-of-covid-19-containment-policies\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-9097","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9097","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9097"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9097\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9098,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9097\/revisions\/9098"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9097"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9097"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9097"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=9097"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}