{"id":9593,"date":"2021-05-04T14:33:52","date_gmt":"2021-05-04T21:33:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/?p=9593"},"modified":"2021-05-06T14:34:39","modified_gmt":"2021-05-06T21:34:39","slug":"modeling-the-transmission-of-covid-19-journal-of-public-health-management-and-practice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/05\/04\/modeling-the-transmission-of-covid-19-journal-of-public-health-management-and-practice\/","title":{"rendered":"Modeling the Transmission of Covid-19. Journal of Public Health Management and Practice"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">A transmission model of a pre-K-12 US school setting found that even in the context of low community incidence of SARS-CoV-2, mitigation strategies and contact tracing with a net effectiveness of 27% could result in 75% of the school population being infected within 6 months. The model is based on the CDC COVIDTracer modeling tool. Improving mitigation strategies to be 69% effective could result in less than 0.9% of the school population being infected. Even in this scenario, substantial importation from a community with high incidence could result in infections in up to 20% of the school population. Across all scenarios of mitigation strategies and community incidence, hospitalizations did not exceed 0.5% of the school population.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Miller et al.\u00a0(Apr 30, 2021). Modeling the Transmission of Covid-19. Journal of Public Health Management and Practice. <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1097\/PHH.0000000000001373\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1097\/PHH.0000000000001373<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A transmission model of a pre-K-12 US school setting found that even in the context of low community incidence of SARS-CoV-2, mitigation strategies and contact tracing with a net effectiveness of 27% could result in 75% of the school population being infected within 6 months. The model is based on the CDC COVIDTracer modeling tool&#8230;.<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"more\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/2021\/05\/04\/modeling-the-transmission-of-covid-19-journal-of-public-health-management-and-practice\/\">Read more<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[208,143],"topic":[23],"class_list":["post-9593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-summary","tag-modeling-predictive","tag-schools-transmission","topic-modeling-and-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9593","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9593"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9593\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9594,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9593\/revisions\/9594"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9593"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9593"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9593"},{"taxonomy":"topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/pandemicalliance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic?post=9593"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}