Publications

Ehlers, A. P., Drake, F. T., Kotagal, M., Simianu, V. V., Agrawal, N., Joslyn, S., & Flum, D. R. (2016). Factors Influencing Delayed Hospital Presentation in Patients with Appendicitis. Journal of the American College of Surgeons, 223(4), S108-S109. Link

Joslyn, S. L., & LeClerc, J. E. (2016). Climate projections and uncertainty communication. Topics in cognitive science, 8(1), 222-241. Link

Simianu, V. V., Grounds, M. A., Joslyn, S. L., LeClerc, J. E., Ehlers, A. P., Agrawal, N., … & Flum, D. R. (2016). Understanding clinical and non-clinical decisions under uncertainty: a scenario-based survey. BMC medical informatics and decision making, 16(1), 153. Link

Joslyn, S. L., & Grounds, M. A. (2015). The use of uncertainty forecasts in complex decision tasks and various weather conditions. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 21(4), 407. Link

LeClerc, J., & Joslyn, S. (2015). The Cry Wolf Effect and Weather‐Related Decision Making. Risk analysis35(3), 385-395. Link

Bostrom, A., Joslyn, S., Pavia, R., Walker, A. H., Starbird, K., & Leschine, T. M. (2015). Methods for communicating the complexity and uncertainty of oil spill response actions and tradeoffs. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal21(3), 631-645. Link

Joslyn, S., & LeClerc, J. (2013). Decisions with Uncertainty: The Glass Half Full. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 22 (4) 308 – 315. Link

Joslyn, S., Nemec, L. & Savelli, S. (2013). The benefits and challenges of predictive interval forecasts and verification graphics for end-users. Weather, Climate & Society. Link

Savelli, S. & Joslyn, S., (2013). The Advantages of 80% Predictive Interval Forecasts for Non-Experts and the Impact of Visualizations. Applied Cognitive Psychology. DOI: 10.1002/acp.2932 Link

Joslyn, S., & LeClerc, J. (2012). Uncertainty forecasts improve weather-related decisions and attenuate the effects of forecast error. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 18, 126-140. Link

LeClerc, J. & Joslyn, S., (2012). Odds ratio forecasts increase precautionary action in severe weather events. Weather, Climate & Society. Weather, Climate & Society, 4, 263–270. Link

Savelli, S. & Joslyn, S., (2012). Boater safety: Communicating weather forecast information to high stakes end users. Weather, Climate & Society. 4, 7–19 Link

Joslyn, S., & Savelli, S. (2011). Reducing probabilistic weather forecasts to the worst-case scenario: Anchoring effects. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied. 17(4):342-53. Link

Eckel F. A., Glahn H. R., Hamill T. M., Joslyn S., Lapenta W. M., Mass C. F. (2010) National Mesoscale Probabilistic Prediction: Status and the Way Forward. A White-Paper Report from the National Workshop on Mesoscale Probabilistic Prediction, 23-24 September 2009 Link

Joslyn, S. & Savelli, S. (2010). Communicating forecast uncertainty:  Public perception of weather forecast uncertainty. Meteorological Applications. 17, 180-195 Link

Mass C., Joslyn S., Pyle J., Tewson P., Gneiting T., et al. (2009). PROBCAST: A Web-based portal to mesoscale probabilistic forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90(7), 1009-1014. Link

Nadav-Greenberg, L., & Joslyn, S. (2009). Uncertainty forecasts improve decision-making among non-experts, Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making, 2 (1), 24-47. Link

Joslyn, S.L. & Nichols, R.M. (2009). Probability or frequency? Expressing forecast uncertainty in public weather forecasts. Meteorological Applications, 90, 185-193. Link

Joslyn, S., Nadav-Greenberg, L. & Nichols, R. M. (2009). Probability of precipitation: Assessment and enhancement of end-user understanding. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90(2). Link

Nadav-Greenberg, L., Joslyn, S.,  & Taing, M.U. (2008). The effect of weather forecast uncertainty visualization on decision-making. Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making, 2 (1), 24-47. Link

Joslyn, S., Nadav-Greenberg, L., & Taing, M. U. (2008). The Effects of wording on the understanding and use of uncertainty information in a threshold forecasting decision. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 23 (1), 55-72. Link

Joslyn, S. & Jones, D. (2008) Strategies in naturalistic decision-making: A cognitive task analysis of naval weather forecasting.   In J.M. Schraagen (Ed) In J.M. Schraagen, S. (Ed) Naturalistic Decision Making and Macrocognition. Ashgate Publishing Link

Joslyn, S., Pak, K., Jones, D. Pyles, J. & Hunt, E. (2007). The Effect of probabilistic information on threshold forecasts. Weather & Forecasting, 22 (4), 804–812. Link

Hunt, E. & Joslyn, S. (2006). Stages of concern for laboratory, field, and social issues in applying cognitive psychology. In Hoffman, R. R. (Ed.) Expertise out of context.  Mahwah, NJ:Erlbaum.