[44] Qin, C., Joslyn, S., Savelli, S., Demuth, J., Morss, R., & Ash, K. (2023). The impact of probabilistic tornado warnings on risk perceptions and responses. Journal of experimental psychology: applied. Advance online publication. Link
[43] Joslyn, S., Qin, C., Han, J. H., Savelli, S., & Agrawal, N. (2023). Reducing vaccine hesitancy by explaining vaccine science. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 29(3), 489–528. Link
[42] Burgeno, J. N., & Joslyn, S. L. (2023). The Impact of Forecast Inconsistency and Probabilistic Forecasts on Users’ Trust and Decision-Making. Weather, Climate, and Society, 15(3), 693-709. Link
[41] Gulacsik, G., Joslyn, S. L., Robinson, J., & Qin, C. (2022). Communicating Uncertainty Information in a Dynamic Decision Environment. Weather, Climate, and Society, 14(4), 1201-1216. pdf
[40] Joslyn, S., Sinatra, G. M., & Morrow, D. (2021). Risk perception, decision-making, and risk communication in the time of COVID-19. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 27(4), 579-583. Link
[39] Gulacsik, G., Joslyn, S. L., Robinson, J., & Qin, C. (2022). Do Advisories, Warnings, or Color Coding Matter to Risk Perception and Precautionary Decisions? Weather, Climate, and Society, 14(2), 569-583. pdf
[38] Joslyn, S., Savelli, S., Duarte, H. A., Burgeno, J., Qin, C., Han, J. H., & Gulacsik, G. (2021). COVID-19: Risk perception, risk communication, and behavioral intentions. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 27(4), 599-620. Link
[37] Joslyn, S., & Demnitz, R. (2021). Explaining how long CO₂ stays in the atmosphere: Does it change attitudes toward climate change? Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 27(3), 473-484. Link
[36] Joslyn, S., & Savelli, S. (2021). Visualizing uncertainty for non-expert end users: The challenge of the deterministic construal error. Frontiers in Computer Science, 2, 590232. Link
[35] Su, C., Burgeno, J. N., & Joslyn, S. (2021). The effects of consistency among simultaneous forecasts on weather-related decisions. Weather, Climate, and Society, 13(1), 3–10. pdf
[34] Burgeno, J. N., and Joslyn, S.L. (2020). The impact of weather forecast inconsistency on user trust. Weather, Climate, and Society, 12(4), 679–694. pdf
[33] Demnitz, R., & Joslyn, S. (2020). The effects of recency and numerical uncertainty estimates on overcautiousness. Weather, climate, and society, 12(2), 309-322. pdf
[32] Joslyn, S., & Demnitz, R. (2019). Communicating climate change: Probabilistic expressions and concrete events. Weather, Climate, and Society, 11(3), 651-664. pdf
[31] Losee, J. E., & Joslyn, S. (2018). The need to trust: How features of the forecasted weather influence forecast trust. International journal of disaster risk reduction, 30, 95-104. Link
[30] Grounds, M. A., & Joslyn, S. L. (2018). Communicating weather forecast uncertainty: Do individual differences matter?. Journal of experimental psychology: applied, 24(1), 18-33. Link
[29] Grounds, M. A., LeClerc, J. E., & Joslyn, S. (2018). Expressing flood likelihood: Return period versus probability. Weather, climate, and society, 10(1), 5-17. pdf
[28] Grounds, M. A., Joslyn, S., & Otsuka, K. (2017). Probabilistic interval forecasts: An individual differences approach to understanding forecast communication. Advances in Meteorology, 2017. Link
[27] Ehlers, A. P., Drake, F. T., Kotagal, M., Simianu, V. V., Agrawal, N., Joslyn, S., & Flum, D. R. (2016). Factors Influencing Delayed Hospital Presentation in Patients with Appendicitis. Journal of the American College of Surgeons, 223(4), S108-S109. Link
[26] Joslyn, S. L., & LeClerc, J. E. (2016). Climate projections and uncertainty communication. Topics in cognitive science, 8(1), 222-241. Link
[25] Simianu, V. V., Grounds, M. A., Joslyn, S. L., LeClerc, J. E., Ehlers, A. P., Agrawal, N., … & Flum, D. R. (2016). Understanding clinical and non-clinical decisions under uncertainty: a scenario-based survey. BMC medical informatics and decision making, 16(1), 153. Link
[24] Joslyn, S. L., & Grounds, M. A. (2015). The use of uncertainty forecasts in complex decision tasks and various weather conditions. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 21(4), 407-417. Link
[23] LeClerc, J., & Joslyn, S. (2015). The Cry Wolf Effect and Weather‐Related Decision Making. Risk analysis, 35(3), 385-395. Link
[22] Bostrom, A., Joslyn, S., Pavia, R., Walker, A. H., Starbird, K., & Leschine, T. M. (2015). Methods for communicating the complexity and uncertainty of oil spill response actions and tradeoffs. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal, 21(3), 631-645. Link
[21] Joslyn, S. (2015). A Short Introduction to Climate Change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96(7), 1185-1186. Link
[20] Joslyn, S., & LeClerc, J. (2013). Decisions with Uncertainty: The Glass Half Full. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 22(4) 308 – 315. Link
[19] Joslyn, S., Nemec, L. & Savelli, S. (2013). The benefits and challenges of predictive interval forecasts and verification graphics for end-users. Weather, Climate & Society 5(2), 133-147. pdf
[18] Savelli, S. & Joslyn, S., (2013). The Advantages of Predictive Interval Forecasts for Non-Experts and the Impact of Visualizations. Applied Cognitive Psychology. DOI: 10.1002/acp.2932 Link
[17] Ebert, E., Wilson, L., Weigel, A., Mittermaier, M., Nurmi, P., Gill, P., Gober, M., Joslyn, S., Brown, B., Fowler, T., & Watkins, A. (2013). Progress and challenges in forecast verification. Meteorological Applications, 20(2), 130-139. Link
[16] Joslyn, S., & LeClerc, J. (2012). Uncertainty forecasts improve weather-related decisions and attenuate the effects of forecast error. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 18, 126-140. Link
[15] LeClerc, J. & Joslyn, S., (2012). Odds ratio forecasts increase precautionary action in severe weather events. Weather, Climate & Society, 4(4), 263–270. pdf
[14] Savelli, S. & Joslyn, S., (2012). Boater safety: Communicating weather forecast information to high stakes end users. Weather, Climate & Society. 4(1), 7–19. pdf
[13] Joslyn, S., & Savelli, S. (2011). Reducing probabilistic weather forecasts to the worst-case scenario: Anchoring effects. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied. 17(4):342-353. Link
[12] Eckel F. A., Glahn H. R., Hamill T. M., Joslyn S., Lapenta W. M., Mass C. F. (2010) National Mesoscale Probabilistic Prediction: Status and the Way Forward. A White-Paper Report from the National Workshop on Mesoscale Probabilistic Prediction, 23-24 September 2009 Link
[11] Joslyn, S. & Savelli, S. (2010). Communicating forecast uncertainty: Public perception of weather forecast uncertainty. Meteorological Applications. 17, 180-195 Link
[10] Mass C., Joslyn S., Pyle J., Tewson P., Gneiting T., et al. (2009). PROBCAST: A Web-based portal to mesoscale probabilistic forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90(7), 1009-1014. Link
[9] Nadav-Greenberg, L., & Joslyn, S. (2009). Uncertainty forecasts improve decision-making among non-experts, Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making, 2(1), 24-47. Link
[8] Joslyn, S.L. & Nichols, R.M. (2009). Probability or frequency? Expressing forecast uncertainty in public weather forecasts. Meteorological Applications, 90, 185-193. Link
[7] Joslyn, S., Nadav-Greenberg, L. & Nichols, R. M. (2009). Probability of precipitation: Assessment and enhancement of end-user understanding. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90(2). Link
[6] Nadav-Greenberg, L., Joslyn, S., Taing, M.U., & Nichols, R. M. (2008). The effect of weather forecast uncertainty visualization on decision-making. Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making, 2(1), 24-47. Link
[5] Joslyn, S., Nadav-Greenberg, L., & Taing, M. U. (2009). The Effects of wording on the understanding and use of uncertainty information in a threshold forecasting decision. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 23(1), 55-72. Link
[4] Joslyn, S. & Jones, D. (2008) Strategies in naturalistic decision-making: A cognitive task analysis of naval weather forecasting. In J.M. Schraagen (Ed) In J.M. Schraagen, S. (Ed) Naturalistic Decision Making and Macrocognition. Ashgate Publishing Link
[3] Hunt, E., & Joslyn, S. (2007). The dynamics of the relation between applied and basic research. In Expertise Out of Context (pp. 16-37). Psychology Press. Link
[2] Joslyn, S., Pak, K., Jones, D. Pyles, J. & Hunt, E. (2007). The Effect of probabilistic information on threshold forecasts. Weather & Forecasting, 22(4), 804–812. Link
[1] Hunt, E. & Joslyn, S. (2006). Stages of concern for laboratory, field, and social issues in applying cognitive psychology. In Hoffman, R. R. (Ed.) Expertise out of context. Mahwah, NJ:Erlbaum.