Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

January 29, 2020

Epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infection: A statistical analysis of publicly available case data

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  • Using publicly available case data in official reports from government institutes, researchers used modelling techniques to estimate:
    • Incubation period of 2-9 days with a median incubation period of 4-5 days.
    • Median time from illness onset to hospitalization = 3 days
    • Recommended length of isolation and quarantine should be at least 9 days. 
    • Median time delay of 13.8 days from illness onset to death should be used for estimating case fatality risk. 

Linton et al. (Jan 29, 2020). Epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infection: A statistical analysis of publicly available case data. Pre-Print. http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.26.20018754